Fourth Annual Who's Screwed NFL Supply and Demand Analysis for 2021 - End of Day 2

 Heading Into Day 3...Who's Screwed?

With Day 2 in the books there was a lot of movement in Supply of player prospects and the Demand for them from talent hungry NFL teams.  Also a big factor was the priority of need for each position is different for each team.  So how does Day 3 look for your favorite team?

For those of you new to this exercise, if you find yourself confused go back to the Pre-Draft article here which provides a solid overview of the concepts discussed here.

Supply and Demand Table

Shortage/Surplus

• Well...bye... - The supply of QB and TE based on the top 160 NFL.com prospects had run out despite there still being demand for those positions.
• Coming Up Short- Positions with shortages are CB, LB and S.
• Extra, Extra - The positions with surplus availability are RB, OL and WR. 
• Stuck in the Middle - DL has enough for everyone. 

Avg Need (Priority)

• Big Uglies - When it comes to priority, OL has the highest average scoring 4.00 (out of 5)
• No Respect - Many fans don't value the RB position and now it seems teams don't given their Avg Need is only 1.50 (out of 5). Pobrecitos!
• Not So Safe - Despite being a shortage position, S is a low priority need at 2.18 avg.

Criticality

• No Sweat - If you need a RB, S or WR, no problem.  At this point there are either so many that you will get one in the Top 160 or the need for the position is not really a priority.
• Moving Fast -  If you need an other position, you need to get it fast since supplies and running low and competition is high starting with CBs who are the positions with the lowest criticality making them the most urgent position.

So...who's screwed?  Glad you asked.

The table above is descending from worst position to best.

• Over - At the bottom of the table above are TB and MIN, both of whom have no Critical Positions left to draft...for now.  Of course, based on how the draft picks fall there could be a shift but for now, they can relax as they have completed their Critical Positions shopping. 
• And Out - BUF and LVR still have Critical Positions open but, barring a trade up, they won't have any remaining Top 160 picks left and won't be filling those needs from the first 160 draftees, which is the whole point of this exercise.  
• Vegas only has 1 low priority position unfilled so that's not an issue.
• BUF has  it's second and third highest priority position unfilled so their War Room team had better be good at this drafting stuff. 
• Safe: Teams with Critical Coverage of at least 0% have enough draft capital to pick up all their Critical Positions with the draft capital they have remaining through pick 160.
• Screwed:  These teams have more Critical Positions needed then draft capital at pick 160 or better:
• One Pick Short 
• ARI
• CHI
• DEN
• GB
• NE
• NYG
• SF
• WAS
• Two Picks Short
• HOU
• IND
• KC
• Three Picks Short
• SEA

Here is the same list sorted Alphabetically:

Of course, as the Critical Positions can shift based on the way the picks fall. 

An entire wrap up of the draft looking at how teams did or did not fill their Critical Positions will be posted after the draft. 

Enjoy Day 3!

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The Fifth Annual All-DraftTwitter Top 100 NFL Prospects List!

Some of Twitter's most opinionated evaluators come together for the annual aggregated list of prospects for the 2021 NFL draft.  Check it out and see if you agree with our composite list!