In short, ROI represents the amount of yards a receiver generates in excess of his distribution quota. This allows us to see which receivers make the most of their opportunities.
For a more detailed description, follow this link to Return on Investment
Week 9 Update
The playoff picture is beginning to develop as the season enters November. This space will begin to have some in-depth player reports to give more background into the athletes behind the numbers. Until then, let's start with a recap of the Players to Watch.
Players to Watch - Week 9 Review
Ohio's Sebastian Smith 4/90/1 vs. Toledo (compared to team stats 7/159/2).
Toledo's Cody Thompson 6/73/0 vs. Ohio (compared to team stats 32/438/3).
TCU's Taj Williams 4/52/0 vs. TTU (compared to team stats 16/160/0).
WVU's Shelton Gibson 2/33/1 vs. Oklahoma State (compared to 24/212/1).
OKST's James Washington 6/117/0 vs. WVU's (compared to 26/273/3).
Bed Wetter of the Week...
Fresno State's Aaron Peck wet the bed going 1/16/0 vs. the same AFA team that dropped its shorts to Hawai'i's Marcus Kemp the week before for 6/151/2.
Toledo's Cody Thompson 6/73/0 vs. Ohio (compared to team stats 32/438/3).
TCU's Taj Williams 4/52/0 vs. TTU (compared to team stats 16/160/0).
WVU's Shelton Gibson 2/33/1 vs. Oklahoma State (compared to 24/212/1).
OKST's James Washington 6/117/0 vs. WVU's (compared to 26/273/3).
Bed Wetter of the Week...
Fresno State's Aaron Peck wet the bed going 1/16/0 vs. the same AFA team that dropped its shorts to Hawai'i's Marcus Kemp the week before for 6/151/2.
FBS players to watch
Syracuse's Amba Etta-Tawo vs. Clemson- ET has moved into the high productivity range that typically erodes efficiency however, with a solid effort he can be part of the rare group of highly productive and highly efficient receivers. But that Clemson passing defense is 4th in the nation so it won't be a cakewalk.
Northwestern's Austin Carr vs. Wisconsin - Having watched a bit of tape on Carr already, this will be a defining game from a draft status perspective. While he sports high WR Return on Investment, he benefits from a high target count (have not calculated; but it's obvious watching tape). They are hosting Wisconsin's #10 passing defense.
FAU's Kalib Woods vs. Rice - Woods is not a household name, but he
has been able to keep his name on the ROI list for most of the season with efficient, if not monstrous stats. He has a chance to blow up the stat sheet this week vs. the worst passing defense in the country.
Northwestern's Austin Carr vs. Wisconsin - Having watched a bit of tape on Carr already, this will be a defining game from a draft status perspective. While he sports high WR Return on Investment, he benefits from a high target count (have not calculated; but it's obvious watching tape). They are hosting Wisconsin's #10 passing defense.
FAU's Kalib Woods vs. Rice - Woods is not a household name, but he
has been able to keep his name on the ROI list for most of the season with efficient, if not monstrous stats. He has a chance to blow up the stat sheet this week vs. the worst passing defense in the country.
FBS
DNQ indicates player did not have the minimum number of receptions or yards for the season to qualify for inclusion.
|
This Week
|
Last Week
|
Player
|
College
|
Year
|
ROI
|
X Above Avg
|
|
1
|
1
|
Jimmy Williams
|
East Carolina
|
Sr.
|
77.8%
|
4.29
|
|
2
|
4
|
Deangelo Yancey
|
Purdue
|
Sr.
|
67.7%
|
3.73
|
|
3
|
2
|
Josh Reynolds
|
Texas A&M
|
Sr.
|
60.1%
|
3.32
|
|
4
|
3
|
Taj Williams
|
TCU
|
Jr.
|
54.3%
|
3.00
|
|
5
|
9
|
James Washington
|
Oklahoma St.
|
Jr.
|
45.6%
|
2.51
|
|
6
|
5
|
Allenzae Staggers
|
Southern Miss.
|
Jr.
|
41.2%
|
2.27
|
|
7
|
8
|
Sabastian Smith
|
Ohio
|
Sr.
|
40.8%
|
2.25
|
|
8
|
DNQ
|
Shaedon Meadors
|
Appalachian St.
|
Jr.
|
40.3%
|
2.22
|
|
9
|
10
|
Carlos Henderson
|
Louisiana Tech
|
Jr.
|
38.7%
|
2.13
|
|
10
|
6
|
Cody Thompson
|
Toledo
|
Jr.
|
38.7%
|
2.13
|
|
11
|
DNQ
|
Tim Patrick
|
Utah
|
Sr.
|
37.7%
|
2.08
|
|
12
|
16
|
Kalib Woods
|
Fla. Atlantic
|
Jr.
|
37.4%
|
2.06
|
|
13
|
23
|
Devonte Boyd
|
UNLV
|
Jr.
|
36.5%
|
2.01
|
|
14
|
14
|
Amara Darboh
|
Michigan
|
Sr.
|
36.4%
|
2.01
|
|
15
|
18
|
Shay Fields
|
Colorado
|
Jr.
|
34.7%
|
1.91
|
|
16
|
22
|
Malik Turner
|
Illinois
|
Jr.
|
34.4%
|
1.90
|
|
17
|
15
|
Marcus Kemp
|
Hawaii
|
Sr.
|
33.4%
|
1.84
|
|
18
|
29
|
Austin Carr
|
Northwestern
|
Sr.
|
33.3%
|
1.83
|
|
19
|
18
|
Ricky Jones
|
Indiana
|
Sr.
|
32.7%
|
1.80
|
|
20
|
17
|
Ardarius Stewart
|
Alabama
|
Jr.
|
32.2%
|
1.77
|
Here comes that man again.
East Carolina's Jimmy Willliams retains his spot for the second consecutive week as the top Blue Chip performer with a ROI of 77.8%, which reflects his pro rata output for the Pirates. With an average ROI of 18.1% for the top 150 FBS WRs (based on receiving yards), his output is just over 4.25x better than the average WR.
He faces a top 25 team in terms of passing defense in Tulsa this Saturday.
FCS
|
This Week
|
Last Week
|
Player
|
College
|
Year
|
ROI
|
X Above Avg
|
|
1
|
1
|
Christian Summers
|
Towson
|
Sr.
|
49.1%
|
2.45
|
|
2
|
21
|
Jaris Scott
|
Davidson
|
Jr.
|
47.8%
|
2.39
|
|
3
|
DNQ
|
Isaiah Barnes
|
Princeton
|
Sr.
|
47.2%
|
2.36
|
|
4
|
6
|
Wayne Capers
|
Duquesne
|
Sr.
|
46.0%
|
2.30
|
|
5
|
10
|
Miles Thompson
|
Indiana St.
|
Jr.
|
45.8%
|
2.29
|
|
6
|
11
|
Brian Riley
|
San Diego
|
Sr.
|
45.7%
|
2.28
|
|
7
|
3
|
Gatlin Casey
|
Lehigh
|
Jr.
|
44.8%
|
2.24
|
|
8
|
9
|
Dante Shells
|
Liberty
|
Sr.
|
42.5%
|
2.13
|
|
9
|
2
|
Jesse Blackburn
|
Murray St.
|
Sr.
|
41.6%
|
2.08
|
|
10
|
4
|
Anthony Warrum
|
Illinois St.
|
Sr.
|
40.8%
|
2.04
|
|
11
|
7
|
Darious Crawley
|
McNeese
|
Jr.
|
38.0%
|
1.90
|
|
12
|
5
|
Spearman Robinson
|
Western Carolina
|
Sr.
|
37.4%
|
1.87
|
|
13
|
13
|
Devonte Dedmon
|
William & Mary
|
Jr.
|
36.7%
|
1.83
|
|
14
|
14
|
Elijah Marks
|
Northern Ariz.
|
Jr.
|
36.4%
|
1.82
|
|
15
|
20
|
Will Carter
|
Bucknell
|
Sr.
|
33.6%
|
1.68
|
|
16
|
DNQ
|
Joey Fields
|
Central Conn. St.
|
Jr.
|
32.8%
|
1.64
|
|
17
|
12
|
Taylor Barthelette
|
Bryant
|
Sr.
|
32.1%
|
1.60
|
|
18
|
17
|
Stephen Miller
|
Northern Colo.
|
Sr.
|
31.3%
|
1.56
|
|
19
|
18
|
Ray Bolden
|
Stony Brook
|
Jr.
|
31.1%
|
1.56
|
|
20
|
28
|
Daniel Williams
|
Jackson St.
|
Sr.
|
30.2%
|
1.51
|
Towson's Christian Summer's retains his #1 spot in FCS. The range of ROI scores is much tighter than in FBS so there has been a lot of turnover in their week to week rankings. He faces 44th ranked passing defense Elon.
Duquense's Wayne Capers Jr (son of an NFL WR and U Kansas women's basketball team member) continues to inch his way up the efficiency standings while sitting at 22nd in FCS Receiving Yards.
Due to the late update, no D2 this week (it's Keelan Cole at WR#1, as usual) but I will have an update with my nemesis CBSSports updated WR rankings for the 2017 draft. It's a cluster!
Shameless Self-Promotion!
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