Regular Season FBS Tackles For Loss Leaders

With the regular season behind us, we can start looking into the numbers to see what players were  hidden from our view because they did not have the media push of some others.  Despite our not hearing about some talented players from week to week because of geography or program promotion, we can look at the season's statistics to see if we cannot mine some lunch pail guys who will put in the work if they get the chance at the next level via the NFL Draft.

Although this space focuses on the wide receiver position, during this time of year from the bowl season to the NFL Draft, I provide different updates on positions and topics of interest .  This week, we are focusing on front seven defenders generating the most tackles for a loss.

Tackles for a Loss - Statistical vs Real World analysis

Although they both require looking at a lot of numbers, keeping score of a game and beginning your player evaluation on the stat sheet are two different jobs.  As such, there are variances that should be distinguished when considering how we should measure tackles for a loss:

The "Half" Tackle

Look at any stat sheet for tackles for a loss (TFL) and you will see them listed in increments of 0.5 TFL.  That is because, of course, if a player is tackled by 2 players, to give each player credit for a whole tackle would indicate there were 2 tackles on 1 play... If you had shared tackles on every down you could have 60 plays with 120 credited tackles.  So, clearly, when players arrive at the same time, they split the tackle for statistical integrity.  

But why do we split up the assist tackles when evaluating players? In the statistical world, a player with  10 solo tackles and 10 assisted tackles gets credit for 15 total tackles.  But, in the real world, he got "home" 20 times so it is critical that draft evaluation should consider the entire picture. In our analysis, we calculate adjusted total tackles for loss as Solo TFL plus Assisted TFL.

Total Tackles for Loss per Game

Comparing the number of tackles for loss is not an easy business. It is even more difficult when the ratings are based on TTFL per GAME.  I think we can all agree that each game will result in a different number of opportunities and so each player's TTFL should be measured against the number of plays the defense faced (in a perfect world, we would have snap count data, but that comes at a cost). Therefore, this exercise measures Defensive Plays divided by a player's adjusted TTFL.

Average Opponent Strength vs TFL

Let's say two players have the same TTFL grade based on our adjustments above.  Do we assume they are equal in our early evaluation work?  We could, but what I have done below is include a measure for average opponent strength based on calculating a ratio similar to what we have for the defensive players.  This players TTFL grade is further adjusted to reflect the competition faced. 

Top Adjusted Tackles for a Loss Rating

Key: Bold Font - Multi sport HS Athlete; Italics - HS All State Athlete; Underline - Legacy Collegiate Athlete, Asterisk - Graduated HS before 2015

• Rank - Final TFL rank based on SoS Adj column (see below).
• Std Rank - The standard rank based on half credit for Assisted TFL and using TTFL/Games Played for ranking.
• Mass - A simple measure to quickly normalize player size.
• Plays/Total - The ratio of Defensive plays for players team/Adjusted TTFL.
• SoS Adj - Final TFL ranking based on adjusting Plays/Total for SoS regarding TFL.

Notes

1. Michigan State's Willekes was considered #14 for TTFL based on standard scoring however, using our method, he has the best TFL rate in FBS (1 TFL for every 28.95 defensive plays).  As a redshirt Junior, I will make sure to take a long look at his game video.
2. Harvey of ECU  leads the FBS stat sheets in TFL and he is 2nd overall in our analysis, not shabby at all.  Further film analysis will be necessary to see how a guy can come out of nowhere to stand at the top of the heap for this important statistical measure.
3. Ejiya of the Mean Green of North Texas had the best pure Adjusted Ranking but the SoS UNT faced knocked him down to #6 overall.  
4. Utah LB Hansen served his Morman mission prior to completing his college career so he is a bit older than most FBS athletes.  His  numbers were markedly improved based on the SoS having faced so many teams who were stingy in terms of allowing TFL.  If he tests well at the Combine, we may be seeing him on Sundays in Fall 2019.
5. Gopher defenders  Cashman and Coughlin not only went to the same high school, they also ended up with the exact same TFL grade...how weird is that?  Anyway, each both rose the highest in the top 25 based on Competition adjustment.
6. I know you're asking, who fell the farthest?  UNT is on the list again with Brandon Garner  taking up that title.  Not through any fault of his own, but only because UNT's schedule was loaded with teams that, on average, gave up a ton of TFL, which somewhat devalued Garner's achievements.

Of course, there are so many factors that go into the numbers the best way to evaluate is to watch game footage.  The method used here is not designed to give us an unquestionable list but to give us several, "Who?" moments so we can do deeper research on a potential Sunday starter.

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Final Regular Season FBS Wide Receiver ROI through Week 13!

The 2018 Regular Season is in the Books!

FBS holds Conference championship games this weekend and the FCS, D2 and D3 tournaments are underway (and so, no change in those season ending numbers).  So let's take a look at the most efficient receivers in FBS based on our own Return on Investment metric after the end of the regular season for 2018.

Week 13

• There is a new column to the usual table presented above includes"Density" or weight/height as a simple way to compare body mass of different sized players - for example, 6'1" 205 lbs Ratliff-Williams of UNC is the same "size" as 6'6" 219 lbs Custis of 'Cuse.  
• D/Avg or Density to Sample Average shows you how under or overweight each player is to the average density of the NFL Top 20 Receivers (in terms of receiving yards).
• Based on the above, my boy Scotty Miller from Bowling Green would have to gain about 30 lbs to hit the average...that's a lotta lasagna.

Here are a few comments about some of the Top 20...

• He did not go wire to wire but the 6'6" 219 lbs Hakeem Butler of Iowa State spent every week he was in the Top 20 at the #1 or #2 spot, finishing with the top raw ROI of 298% better than average (of the top 150 Rec Yard WRs).   Although he has not yet declared, his skill set is on par with some of the top  prospects for the upcoming 2019 NFL draft.  Here is a nice video from his Travis (TX) High School days which shows his skill set was broad and developed back then...enjoy the music. 

 Hakeem Butler - Blurry but good!

• Louisiana Monroe's Marcus Green dropped from #2 overall at #9 with an ROI to Avg of 114% but has the distinction of the only player to make the Top 20 list each and every week it was published!  Dude has a charmed life from his ULM bio (mom is a professional singer, honor roll in HS, balled out at basketball also, etc.). Although he is just 5'8" he is 191 lbs and so he has the body mass to last at the next level.   Here is a video of his highlights but don't forget to click through here if you want to see a 5'8" man slam a basketball. 

Marcus Green, on a mission

• ECU's Trevon Brown has recovered from some tough times to make back to back season ending appearances on our Top 20 list, showing consistency year over year. ECU has quietly churned out some NFL caliber receivers and Brown is looking for the chance to be the next.  Not a huge amount of cut up video out for him at this moment, so here is a HS video of him scoring 6 TDs on 6 touches. He shows nice hands here and great concentration; teams must also respect his return ability.  

• Finally, Shawn Poindexter of Arizona was just one week away from joining Green in earning a spot on each of our Top 20 lists.  The former scholarship volleyball player out of high school slipped under the radar after going the JUCO route making All-ACCAC honors in the process.  His "late" start hasn't hindered his progress as he led the team in receiving this year.  At  6'5, he will draw lots of interest this coming draft season.  Here is footage from Glendale CC. 

Post Season ROI

As the Bowl games and FCS, DII and DIII tournaments proceed, check out this space for updated, final ROI rankings.  These metrics will expand to include target numbers which can always modify the preliminary rankings.

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Week 11 FBS Wide Receiver Return on Investment - Who Gets More with Less? - Plus New Touchdown Proficiency Ranking!

Catch Up

Week 12 is wrapping up so let's take a look back at Week 11's Top ROI performances:

FBS

This week we will take a look at a couple of new perspectives on wide receivers, starting with the usual Return on Investment table for all qualifying (total receptions at least 1 standard deviation from the mean or better of the top 150 receivers in terms of yards) junior and seniors.

• As we get near the end of the season, the large volume of data on each player begins to flatten the trends and, as such, we don't see many significant changes in the Top 14 compared to last week, with 6 of those players unchanged.
• The Ruler's Back - Butler repeats as #1 with his fifth showing on the ninth list (recall, the first list came out in Week 3 of the season). I have seen him projected at WR14 overall, so he could be a huge bargain if his game film is solid.
• There's Only One - Green is the only FBS player to show up on every Top 20 list so far this year (Poindexter from Arizona fell off).   His ability as a return man potentially gives  him extra value for NFL draft. 
• No Scrubs - There are no new entries on the list; all have been in the top 20 at some point this season.
• Top Gun - Isabella led FBS in receiving yards through Week 11 and remains in the Top 20 for the second consecutive week.  If he can hang on until the final list, he would be the first receiving yards leader to do so.
• Thanks for Showing Up - Scotty Miller and Edwards were on the pre-season ROI watch list and are making a run to finish in the Top 20. 
• Twins - There is only one school with multiple players on the list this week and that is Buffalo with potential 1st round draft pick Johnson and his teammate, Osborn.  

Unqualified Successes?

The list below includes all draft eligible receivers  (excluding redshirt freshmen) as described above, except we ignore the relationship to the mean. 

• The Gray background indicates a player would not have qualified for Final ROI consideration; the Green did or would have qualified. 
• Ubosi of UAB would have had a staggeringly high efficiency of greater than 400% of average but his total reception total is about 48% below average so we have to look to see if this is related primarily to him receiving deep passes or his Yards After Catch.

At one point in its short history, ROI ignored the relationship to the mean qualifier and we saw  a lot of guys who had high YPR numbers but also fairly one dimensional relying on deep threats like Devin Smith and Sammie Coates.  The qualifier was put in place to ensure the players have a meaningful sample however, as with Ubosi, careful review of actual game play might help find a diamond in the rough. 

Touchdown Proficiency

Earlier versions of ROI included a measure for Touchdown "efficiency"; the struggle was how to properly weight TD production given WR skill in each particular situation is one of so many other factors come into play.  While this challenge persists,  we can review the rate of  TDs production to support further NFL draft research into a name that might be new.  

The table above lists the Touchdown Proficiency for draft likely (juniors and seniors) players.  The number is based on the rate of that player's TD production compared to that of the rest of his teammates.

• ECU's Brown led the list producing TDs at a rate 592% better than average for the top 150 WRs based on receiving yards (through Week 11).
• Brown was one of 9 players on the TD Proficiency list to also make the Top 20 ROI list. 
• Of the remaining 11 players, one, Arcega- Whiteside, had ROI above the sample mean of 16.6%.
• Of the remaining 10, just 4 (Bussey Jr., Harry, Boykin and Winston Jr) have positive ROI; that is, they generate more yards than one would project based on the pro rata reception distribution for their teams.
• The remaining 6 (Bradford, Mims, Duhart, Thompson, Sills V and Jennings) provided negative ROI; this is not to say they are not excellent receivers as there are many factors that could contribute to inefficient ROI. (Recall ROI is not a leading indicator, but it provided a way to "screen out" performers who might be under the radar).

The Rest of the NCAA

Somehow, as if by wizardry, the other 3 NCAA divisions, FBS, Division 2 and Division 3 have figured out how to have a playoff system.  We skip week 11 for these divisions and will provide a final, pre-playoff ROI and Touchdown Proficiency analysis for each in the forthcoming week.

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Week 10 FBS Wide Receiver Return on Investment Update

Week 10

Thanks for checking in. This week will be short and sweet.  If you are looking for more detail on what Wide Receiver Return on Investment or ROI is all about, check out this prior post.

FBS

• Shift - The "Adjusted" column reflects ROI vs average when the average Passing Efficiency Defense of each team's schedule is considered. If the Adjusted ROI is higher, that means the player faced above average passing defense; when it is lower, just the opposite occurred.
• The Ruler's Back - With his 2nd consecutive week at the top spot (4th overall), Butler has ROI that is 381% better than average.  Not sure anyone has ever had higher ROI this late in the season since the measure was fine tuned more than 3 years ago. 
• Welcome to the Club - FBS leader in receiving yards, Isabella has cracked the list at #18 overall.  He is joined by top draft prospect Johnson from Buffalo who has finally enough receptions to qualify.  Well done!
• Staring Contest - Green of La.-Monroe and Poindexter of Arizona are each waiting for the other to drop off the list so that there can be one WR on the list from the first week.  Custis, Brown and Arcega-Whiteside are kicking themselves for missing just one week.
• Two the Hard Way - Edwards joins Scotty Miller as players who were predicted to be solid ROI players in 2018 based on their performance over the prior 2 seasons.  Will definitely be looking at film on both this week.

NCAA Comparison

The "Baddest Man" in terms of WR ROI is the top player across all 4 NCAA divisions:  FBS, FCS, Division II and Division III. 

ROI Margin represents the distance between the player and the 2nd place WR in terms of ROI. 

• As you can see, Butler is killing it in terms of top ROI and ROI Margin.  
• Duverger returned to the top of D2 after leading for nearly the entire season - current Jaguar Keelan Cole is the only player to lead in ROI the entire season.  
• Shulte out of Wartburg is a long shot to make the NFL, but we have had D3 players make it in the past. 
• Christian has been a mainstay in terms of ROI over the last couple of years so it will be interesting to see if any GMs pick up on his skill set.

These names have all been on the list for a while now...we get it, they are all extraordinarily efficient but that doesn't guaranty the reasons for their success will translate to the next level. Is the player just a product of his system or taking advantage of poor competition?  Or does is his success a derivative of his game skills.  ROI is just an indicator for further research. 


That's all for this week...swing by again for the Week 11 full on update for all four NCAA divisions!

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Week 9 of NCAA Wide Receiver Return on Investment Efficiency...All 4 Divisions

Eight? Not So Great

So last week was a bit hectic and so the update was simply not created.  We are going straight into Week 9 because, you know, things slowed down a bit. We are rapidly sliding into the tail end of the regular season and so let's take a look at the top performers.

Return on Investment is an efficiency measure that attempts to point out performers who produce more with less.  The goal is not to validate the WR1, but to find players who may be getting overlooked with potential to be significant contributors once they get to the NFL. And for a lot less in terms of draft capital.  ROI is all about value. Some of the players screened out by ROI over the years include the Chiefs' Chris Conley, the Rams' Cooper Kupp, the Jaguars' Keelan Cole and the Texans' Keke Coutee, among others. 

FBS

Notes:

• Do You Want an Encore?- Butler from Iowa State took a hiatus last week (he did not have enough receptions to qualify) to return to the number one spot overall. I will be looking at video of him to see if his production is driven by scheme or his own hard work.
• And Then There Were Two - Only Green from Louisiana Monroe and  Poindexter from Arizona have been on each and every top 20 list this season. Can they go wire to wire?
• 50/50 - The current list is split evenly with 10 seniors and 10 juniors (sophomores will be included in the post season ROI listings until Declaration Day, after which only those declaring for the draft will be listed). 
• The Long Run - Scott Miller is the only pre-season ROI selections to remain on this list meaning he has had solid efficiency for the last three seasons. 
• New Jack City - First time appearances by 4:  
• Hightower from Boise State
• Ward from Hawai'i
• Mooney from Tulane
• Humphrey from Texas

FCS

•  Mutiny - Christian reclaimed his #1 standing after the incumbent could not garner enough receptions to qualify.
• Teenage Riot - Juniors outnumber Senior 13-7 on this week's list however, I don't recall seeing FCS players declare early for the draft so we will start excluding Juniors in the lower tier NCAA divisions over the next few weeks.
• Nubes - We welcome Bobby Hartzog and Reggie White Jr (not the one you're thinking of) to the list as first timers.  Pace, Gueller and Cotton just took some "me" time away from the list...

Division II

New #1 Greenhow knocks out Duverger who has held the #1 spot most of the season.  I know it is D2, but over the last 3 games, Greenhow has collected 152, 276 and 207 yard games. Omigie (just want him to go pro so his nickname can be "OMG!") and Brummitt also crashed this week's list.

Division III

Shulte of Wartburg remains atop DIII by a healthy margin. He's gone over 140 yards three times this season, but with two games remaining, it's doubtful anyone can supplant him. He and Day have been list mainstays.

NCAA Baddest Man of the Week





Butler returns with a vengeance to take the top spot in terms of ROI in all the land.  He is a very big receiver who runs hard and, should he come out for he 2019 draft, will be an intriguing prospect. 

The Wearer of the Touchdown Chain is...



Division II gets to wear the Touchdown Chain this week thanks to Azusa Pacific's Carr who's Receiving Touchdown Rate of 1 touchdown every 2.8 receptions is 205% better than average.  FBS is represented by Johnson, whose Toledo has one of the most talent WR trios in NCAA football today.

Looking forward to wrapping up the season over the next month so stay tuned for regular updates.

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ROI Update for Week 7!!

FBS

Just looking at the Main Event is week with detail on FCS, DII and DIII next week.

• Butler is back at #1 after a week off the Top 20 (reception total did not qualify) and he maintains his dominance of FBS ROI efficiency at 239% above average and over 113% better than the #2 receiver in the list. 
• Green, Poindexter and Arcega-Whiteside have been in the Top 20 each of the first 5 weeks of the survey. The first two have risen in ranks since last week while the last, at #19, will have to fight to stay in for another week.
• Making a move is Miller from BGSU who was a pre-season Top ROI "One to Watch" in what is his first week in the Top 20 previously excluded because of reception volume. 
• Other Newbs to the list include:  Boykin from Notre Dame, Turpin from TCU who made appearances on this list at times during his underclass years, and Boone from NMSU.

Baddest Man of the Week

Sure, Christian's ROI was the highest in the land of qualifiers at 272%, however he was only 35% ahead of the player in 2nd place in FCS. When we aggregate the ROI and the ROI margin, Hakeem Butler stands tall as the baddest WR in NCAA based on ROI, his 2nd such crown.

Touchdown Chain

Last Week, after topping the list 3 consecutive weeks, the unthinkable happened...Arcega-Whiteside fell from the top of the receptions to touchdowns ratio (compared to the qualifying average for each division). He lost by mere percentage points. Thus week, it was more decisive. Pearson from Jacksonville State can now wear the Touchdown Chain with pride as he scores at a rate 262% better than FCS average.

Top ROI WRs facing above Average Passing Defenses

For FBS WRs, we now look at the qualify of defensive competition.  The final column in the table above represents the cumulative average Passing Defense of each player's opponents, based on yards/attempt. FBS players in the Top 20 facing above average Pass Defenses).
Check out your ROI updates every week for all 4 NCAA divisions right here!

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Week 6 NCAA Wide Receiver Top 20 ROI Update! New #1 for Second Straight Week

ROI at the Halfway Mark

Sad as it is to say, Week 6 marks the halfway point for many teams' regular season. But the glass is half full so let's jump right in to the top ROI wide receivers for each NCAA division.

FBS

Notes:

• Top Man:  Eskridge moves up from the number 3 spot to take over #1 (he actually leapfrogged two players who just didn't have enough receptions to qualify for this week's survey).
• And Then There Were Four:  Green, Pinkney, Poindexter and Arcega-Whiteside have all maintained spots in each of the first 4 Top 20 ROI surveys so far this season.  (Let's see if the no-hitter jinx rules apply here.)
• Double Up:  Both Washington State and Old Dominion have two players in this week's Top 20. It is interesting that Wazzou's QB completion % is 8.5% above average while OD has to work with QBs with comp%  -3.5% below the line.
• Right School, Wrong Guy?:  Buffalo, Texas and West Virginia all have highly touted receivers this year but their teammates have proven to  be able to do more with less. 

FCS

• Ferguson jumped one place to the number 1 spot. If his name seems at all familiar to you, it may be because this  former all-state (LA) WR was an LSU Tigert for two seasons before transferring.  Oh, and his brother is LA Tech DE Jaylon Ferguson.  
• Christian of Marist, who came to light as a highly efficient WR last year when he appeared on our list, made a move, jumping 8 spots to #2. He has the track background to make an impact at the next level if he can secure a combine invite. 
• Alex Wesley makes the highest FCS debut at #4.   A former HS all-state (TX) WR, he has been part of the Northern Colorado track team competing in the 400m.

Division II

• Back in Stride Again:  Duverger repeats as D2 #1 maintaining his huge margin compared to the #2 man.  We'll see if he can convert his high efficiency into NFL draft interest. 
• Harris of Assumption may measure 5'6" 170 lbs, but the dude can ball.  He set the D2 record for career return TDs in his junior year...he can only add to his record in this his senior year (he's added 1 more for a career total of 13). Conference Rookie of the year as a freshman to an All-American last year, he's hoping his versatility will add to his draft value.
• Highest D2 debut at #6 is Sesay of Bowie State.  Dude is a bit thin compared to the average FBS receiver listed at 6'4" 175 lbs, however he has the accomplishments over his HS (all-state out of MD) and college (All Conference selection) careers to garner attention.  If he can somehow find his meal card and add 25 lbs, we may have something, here. 

Division III

• Victor of Allegheny made a big jump from #10 last week to the top spot. D3 guys are at this level for a reason and for Victor, it seems that, despite his a 3 time All-County selection in his hometown of Miami (a Dade All-County selection is far superior to being All-State in probably 40 states), his being listed at 5'8" 180 lbs likely kept him out of  the other NCAA divisions.  Regardless, this two time state champion in wrestling has the drive and heart to make some noise. 
• Top senior is Beatty out of Macalester was all-state (KS) in HS and played QB, receiver and safety his freshman year in college, earning a rookie All-American spot. He was named All-Conference in his sophomore and junior years. He is one to keep an eye on.

Bad Man of the Week

Across all NCAA football the Top Man is Eskridge who unseats Duverger with top ROI and ROI Margin (compared to the #2 finisher in that division).  Let's see if he can hold off the competition for at least a week.

Touchdown Chain

Looking at all 4 Divisions, let's take a look at who generates TDs at the quickest pace based on Receptions to Touchdown Ratio (RTDR).

After 3 consecutive weeks wearing the Touchdown Chain, Arcega-Whiteside gives it up to Doran by mere percentage points.  

Check out your ROI updates every week for all 4 NCAA divisions right here!

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Week 5 of NCAA's Most Efficient Wide Receivers...with a NEW # 1

Week #5 

Welcome back for the third Wide Receiver Return on Investment (ROI) Top Efficiency lists for college football through Week 5 of the 2018 season.  For those of you not familiar with ROI it is an efficiency measure that allows college receivers to be measured side by side.  Regardless if a player is in a run heavy or pass heavy offense or is a second option in an offense that has a household name receiver as its focal point, ROI clarifies so we can see who gets the most production out of his opportunities.  The FBS list will be updated weekly with rotational coverage of FCS, Division II and Division III through the Bowl/Championship season all the way to the NFL Player Draft where we have used ROI to uncover gems.   This past week in the NFL, the Top ROI WR for 2017, Keke Coutee made the record books in his debut, smashing decades old records.   

This week we will look at FBS and go back to a broader update across the other NCAA football divisions in our Week 6 update.

FBS

Same old song and dance...Hakeem Butler is just a man among boys at this point in the season.

• Room at the Top - Although the 1-2 punch of Butler and Hall remained unchanged, we make way for a first timer who debuted at #3 in Eskridge, a 5'9", 190 lb former HS all-State (IN) running back.  He was first listed as a WR in his sophomore season and went on to lead the team in receiving yards and yards per reception.
• Welcome Back, Welcome Back, Welcome Back... - After taking a week off, we find Custis, Osborn amd Duhart making their way into the Top 20 again.  We'll see how long they last. 
• New Jack City- Besides Eskridge, other first timers on the list include Davis, Winston Jr., Patmon, Richardson and Miller.  Looking forward to watching footage of each to see if they have the skill sets to remain on this list. 
• Quantum Leap - Of players remaining on the list from last week, Gaither made the biggest jump 10 spots to #5.  He is at my son's top college choice of San Jose State, so he is likely to get hyped up by this space throughout the year. 

Bad Man of the Week

Although the FCS, DII and DIII tables will return in Week 6, we will present the top ROI receivers in each division:

• #4 Kolin Shulte from Wartburg College in Iowa was a HS QB before switching positions to become the leading receiver in this, his junior season.  His ROI was 200% above average for D3 but he was only 10% ahead of the second most efficient WR based on our criteria.
• #3 Josh Wilkes was originally destined to Eastern Michigan however, reworked his plan and had a stint at Butler CC before arriving at Arkansas - Pine Bluff.  He set a school record earlier this year with a 244 yard performance. He has ROI of 267%, with an ROI margin of 43%.
• #2 is Hakeem Butler, our FBS #1 ROI receiver for the 2nd straight week.  His ROI is a ridiculous 318% better than average and he was 54% better than the #2 receiver.
• #1 is UVA-Wise receiver Kaian Duverger with a jaw dropping 333% ROI (he is that much more efficient than the average D2 WR) and has a ROI Margin of 167% between himself and the next guy.

Finding himself at the top of the ROI and ROI Margin, Duverger is a Bad, Bad Man.

Rumors that Duverger dropped out of pre-Kindergarten because "he don't play" have not been substantiated.

Touchdown Chain

Looking at all 4 Divisions, let's take a look at who generates TDs at the quickest pace based on Receptions to Touchdown Ratio (RTDR).

• #4 here is Top Dog Kaian Duverger showing he can get in the end zone also with a Rec/TD ratio of 4.0x.  Based on the average REC/TD ratio for the Top 20 ROI WRs in D2, his ratio is 93% better than average.
• #3 is Josh Wilkes, not to be outdone by Duverger for his appearance on both lists this week.  He had a RTDR of 4.8x which was 108% better than the FCS Top 20 ROI average.
• #2 is Andrew Barker of Marietta who leads D3 with RTDR a TD every 2.7 Receptions.  Stacked up against his direct competitors he is 128% better than average.
• This man has a death grip on the Touchdown Chain, in this, his third straight week as TD King: JJ Arcega-Whiteside has a TD every 2.8 however, because his peer group average RTDR is 9.2x, his RTDR/Avg is 235%. 

Check out your ROI updates every week for all 4 NCAA divisions right here!

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