Saturday, May 5, 2018

Where Did the Top 10 FBS Receivers Go in the 2017 Draft?

What Had Happened Wuz...

So, for the 2017 NCAA football season, I diligently crafted video episodes of the Top Return on Investment (the efficiency measurement I use) Receivers for Division III, Division II, FCS AND the numbers 11-20 receivers in FBS. The plan was to have a final video with the Top 10 FBS receivers.  Yeah...about that... Unfortunately, I had a hard time getting footage for some of the guys and so the Top 10 list was never released...until now.

Hey, Who Are These Guys?

ROI is an efficiency measure.  It does not rely on pure output, but attempts to organize data in a way to normalize performance to compare receivers in a more "apples to apples" context. As such, many players who did not play for a big football powerhouse can now be found easier through the ROI screener for heightened visibility. This gives us an opportunity to find guys who may have otherwise been overlooked.  ROI is not a predictor of performance but an indicator for further scrutiny.

The Top 10

Of the Top 10, half were drafted, 3 were picked up as undrafted free agents and, as of this writing, two have not been offered contracts by any NFL team.  ROI has an 80% draft rate for the top 10. 

  • Keke Coutee was over 130% more efficient than the average WR in FBS and will likely be worked immediately into the receiver rotation in Houston.  
  • The highest drafted receiver was Tre'Quan Smith who went in the third round to New Orleans.  
  • That three were UDFA show which teams do their homework when it comes to doing a deep dive for draft research as none of these WRs were considered "high profile" names. 
  • Thomas Owens had his final college year cut short by a knee injury and had received a workout invite from the NYG, but he is still unsigned.  The 6'1" 201lbs receiver may have been hampered by the knee at his pro day, where he ran a 4.78 40. 
  • Elijah King played at Texas State which has only had 2 players draft in the last 12 years.  We will  keep an eye out for the 6'2" 180 lbs JUCO transfer as a late camp addition. 

Other NCAA Top ROI Minicamp Invitees

#1 ROI in FCS - Jordon Gandy (Murray State) was invited to the Eagles Rookie Minicamp; 

according to ROI, Gandy was the most dominant receiver in all four divisions at 220% more efficient than the average WR in his division. 

#4 ROI in FCS - Christian Gibbs (Illinois State) was invited to the Browns Rookie Minicamp.

#6 ROI in Division III - Deontez Alexander (Franklin) was invited to the 49ers Rookie Minicamp.

This space will be updated as Top ROI players gain opportunities.


Click here for the People's Top 100 Prospect List created by football fans like you!





No comments:

Post a Comment