Saturday, November 21, 2020

NCAA Wide Receiver Efficiency by ROI through 11-15-20

 All Conferences are in Full Swing

Here is the updated list of top efficiency wide receivers based on my Return on Investment metric compared to the popular Dominator Rating through November 15. 
ROI is based on Target Efficiency and Reception Efficiency.  The numbers below are based on Reception Efficiency (Excess Percentage of Team Yards generated compared to Percentage of Team Reception).  Target Efficiency (Percentage of Team Receptions generated compared to Percentage of Team Targets) is included in the final ROI report provided after Bowl Season.  Read more about ROI in my prior post here.

Dominator Rating


The cut off here was 1 Standard Deviation greater than the average of the 150 players with the most receiving yards through November 15, 2020. 
  • TD% = Percent of teams total Receiving TDs 
  • Dom = Dominator Rating
  • ROI Z = Z score of player's Return on Investment measure.


  • The average top Dominator Rating performer on the list above is 48th in terms of receiving yards. 
  • The list gives a nice cross section of players out there who are gaining a lot of yards and scores for their teams. 

Looking at ROI table, below we see a lot of different names.

Wide Receiver Return on Investment 

'DNQ'= Did Not Qualify as he did not meet the minimum Reception threshold the prior period.












  • Bo Melton of Rutgers is the top ROI performer.  
    • He had 21% of his team's receptions and generated 43% of the team's receiving yards generating nearly 105% greater efficiency than the average receiver in the top 150 (in terms of receiving yards).
    • His ROI Z is a ridiculous 3.65 standard deviations above average.  His Dom Z was also insane at 2.84.
  • Along with Melton, here are receivers who made both lists:
    • Romeo Doubs - Nevada
    • Ty Fryfogle - Indiana (by way of Hufflepuff Community College) 
    • Josh Palmer - Tennessee

We will see how who rises and who falls over the weekend.  See you next week for the updated rankings. 




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