Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Boombearjr's Fourth Annual All-Social Media Top 100 NFL Draft Prospects


One More Time


Despite the harrowing times affecting the entire globe, we have a brief respite over the next 3 days with the long awaited NFL Player Draft.  We look to this, not to minimize the impact of the pandemic on the lives of so many, but to take time to remember that we can overcome anything.  Hoping everyone stays safe and we get to the other side of this thing better off than we are now.


We've Come a Long Way

What started as a curiosity project has evolved into an annual exercise and a year long chat that brings together football enthusiasts who debate prospects through the private chat hosted on Twitter. Dozens of individual scouts, both amateur and professional, have participated over the last four years.  Here are this year's contributors:

  • Bill Carroll - Twitter Handle: @elevenbravo138
  • Matt - Twitter Handle:  @ZazzyJets
  • Jacob Infante - Twitter Handle:  @jacobinfante24
  • Gab - Twitter Handle: @Gab48039612
  • Ryan Rosko - Twitter Handle: @SkoSports
  • Jack Cavanagh - Twitter Handle:  @javanagh
  • Raju Byfield - Twitter Handle:  @FantasyContext
  • AJ Milack - Twitter Handle:  @AJMilackNFL
  • Josh Engler - Twitter Handle:  @Mr_Jengler
  • Jason Truitt - Twitter Handle:  @TruittJasonNFL
  • TheCutFFL - Twitter Handle:  @ theCutFFL
  • Jack - Twitter Handle: @actionjack69
  • Simon Carroll- Twitter Handle: @NFLDraftSi
  • Andrew Pavlou - Twitter Handle:  @AndrewPav86
  • Jimmy Williams - Twitter Handle: @draftguyjimmy
  • Dean Pavlou - Twitter Handle:  @DeanPavlou
  • Downtown Rams - Twitter Handle: @RamsDowntown
    I would encourage the reader follow each of the above.  A special shout-out to Bill Carroll who has participated in each Top 100 list over the last four years. He is the Godfather of DraftTwitter and a solid student of the game of football.  

The Top 100


Avg Rank: Average score for each player in the aggregation based on #1 overall assigned 100 pts, #2 gets 99 pts and so on, down to #100 getting 1 pt.

Off Prior Player:  The difference in Avg Rank of a player and the one selected directly before him.

Off Prior Pos Player: The difference in Avg Rank of a player and the prior selection at his position.

Notes:

  • Votes were cast for 181 different players with the top 100.
  • Polarizing Players - Of the Top 100 players, there were several who received NO votes from certain participating voters:
    • Ezra Cleveland ended up at number 48 on the list but 3 voters kept him off their lists entirely.
    • Neville Gallimore (#37) and Lloyd Cushenberry (#40) were each left off two ballots.
    • The highest ranking player to be left off a ballot was Kristian Fulton (#19) by one scout; we will see in 3 years when we review this Top 100 if the scout was right.
  • Just One of the Crowd - Here is a look at the variance of picks for each scout measured by the average number of spots off the final aggregated grade of each player.



  • Gab was most aggressive with his picks being an average of 23.82 places off each average (usually indicative of several sleeper picks making it into his top 100).
  • Jimmy Williams continues his trend of running with the crowd with the lowest variance.  It should be noted Jimmy had the best performance vs. the actual draft last year.
    Draft Coverage
    As usual, I will review this Top 100 to the actual draft immediately after Mr. Irrelevant is picked AND annually to mark our progress. 
    Keep an eye out for my annual "Who's Screwed?" analysis of which teams are in the best position to meet their most pressing position needs which will be updated each night over the next three days.
    Enjoy and stay safe!



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