Getting Ready for Day 2!
NFL had a pretty good draft despite the Safer at Home orders in place nationwide. There were no Earth shattering technical glitches I saw but there's always today!I rolled out the annual review of the teams that were best and worst positioned to fill their needs and, of course, as the selections come off the board, that immediately impacts all teams future plans. Here is the update based on which players came off the board and the draft capital moved around in trades.
Short Update
Screwing this Up will be a Feat
- LAC knocked the cover off the ball in terms of filling needs. Picked up their top need in QB Herbert and scooped their 3rd biggest need in LB Kenneth Murray. Their two critical needs are both low priority, their other need at OL is a rich position and the Bolts have just enough Top 160 picks to cover (2 for 2). One issue is they don't have any Day 2 pick. Regardless, this should be a lay up if they let the draft come to them.
Can Mail it In
- Both teams took care of their top needs and still have plenty of ammo to deal with their respective single critical needs (JAX has 6 picks in the top 160 while DET has 5). The only downside is their common position of need (OL) is the highest deficit position because of a shortage compared to need and the need is the lowest graded position group in the draft.
Only the Strong will Survive
- Coin toss here for the teams in this group comprised of clubs who took care of their top needs but have needs at deficit positions with poor draft spots left. Also in the group are teams with high picks remaining in the Top 160 selections, but those picks may be too few to land many critical positions (DA BEARS!). GMs who come out on top here will have earned their bones.
Start Praying to Your Personal God
- I hate to call anything a lost cause but this will be tough. Teams here have at least 3 critical needs with little room for error since they don't have many top 160 picks left (and many teams who traded away their Day 1 picks are in this group so I hope the guy they got is a stud). Another setback was drafting a guy who didn't fit a position need. You can't knock a team getting a stud (WAS with Chase Young) but destabilizing your franchise for a question mark leads to lots of head scratching. GB trading up to take a polarizing QB in the 1st round, which was not a position of need, with a franchise QB under contract or SEA getting a LB which is not a position of need according to NFL.com who was not even a consensus first round pick, are make or break moves.
Aight...I'mma Head Out
- No one can claim going out and picking up "Swiss Army Knife" Isaiah Simmons or Can't Miss Javon Kinlaw would be considered a "bad draft move". However if you consider Simmons a Safety (like I do) than they missed out on a need. Having 4 Critical Needs and 3 remaining picks in the Top 160 (especially at the lower graded positions) won't help. SF picked up Kinlaw and Aiyuk, satisfying their biggest and middle needed positions so they are already ahead of the game however, they lack the fire power to fill their needs with the best remaining rated players since they have only 1 Top 160 pick left with none on Day 2. Both these teams started out solid and so we can only hope their scouting department have already located all the uncovered gems deep in the draft.
The Details
Supply/Demand Table
Criticality Table by Draft Order
Criticality Table by Criticality Score
See you tomorrow for the Day 2 review/Day 3 forecast!
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The Fourth Annual All-Social Media Top 100 List for NFL Draft prospects is posted...check it out here! https://boombearfootball.blogspot.com/2020/04/boombearjrs-fourth-annual-all-social_22.html
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