Wednesday, May 8, 2019

The Third Annual People's NFL Draft Big Board

Third Time is a Charm?

The NFL Draft is a couple of weeks on the shelf so what better time than now to show off the Third Annual Top 100 Big Board for the people, by the people!  The outpouring for support was tremendous with college football talent evaluators from all over the world offering their input into the aggregate Top 100 prospects in the 2019 NFL Draft.

Experiencing Technical Difficulties...Please Stand By

For the prior editions of the Top 100 (2017 seen here and 2018 seen here), we released the Pre-Combine list immediately before the Underwear Olympics and the Final Survey was distributed prior to the Draft.  Unfortunately, due to a technical error totally on my part, release of this, the Final Top 100, was delayed and I estimate about half the evaluators had glitches in their ballots.  I wholeheartedly apologize to one and all; many lessons learned.  

But enough self loathing...ON TO THE TOP 100!!!

The Deal

Here's the deal...talent evaluators were asked to provide their Top 100 to be aggregated to represent the choices of the people.  The evaluators are regular Jill's and Joe's like you who have just one thing in common...a love of the NFL draft!  

They painstakingly populated the ballot (drop and drag is coming next year, I promise!) from #1 (100 points) all the way to #100 (1 point).  The scores for each player were averaged out with the Top 100 being selected to the final list.  

Who's Responsible?

Here are the evaluators for the pre and post Combine ballots:

All of the above are top quality guys who gave up their time and brain cells to make this project continue for another year.  Thank you all!

The Top 100

The table below lists the Top 100 with their ranking in the Pre-Draft ballot (found here);  their final average score is found in the last column. 




Notes

  • I'm Still Number ONE - Alabama DT Quinnen Williams ended where he started at the number one spot overall.  Not that it was easy as he beat out Nick Bosa of Ohio State by just 0.22 points!
  • NCSU OL Garret Bradbury was a favorite late riser for the People, jumping to #13 overall without even placing in the Top 100 in the pre Combine list.
  • Florida EDGE rusher Jachai Polite would sink the farthest, dropping 46 spots from #8 overall to 54 on our list; Polite would like to have a do-over on the Combine, I think. 
  • Steady Eddies on our list, those who remained nearly unchanged over our two surveys in the Top 20 were:
    • Unchanged 
      • Williams (remained at #1)
      • Bosa (remained unchanged at #2)
      • Kansas State OL Dalton Risner (unchanged at #20)
    • Moved up or down just 1 space
      • Kentucky EDGE rusher Josh Allen (down 1 to #4)
      • Florida State EDGE Brian Burns (up 1 to #5)
      • Mississippi State DT Jeffery Simmons fell one spot to #17 (despite an ACL injury)
      • Arizona State WR N'Keal Harry took a step forward to #18



Scout's Honor

This Top 100 will have periodic reviews to see how our picks stood up against the players actually drafted into the NFL.  To compare talent evaluators in selecting the Top 100, we judge them based on the lowest variance from the average.  


  • Blue= Methodical Analysts:  I know I told them to have fun, but some guys just have no chill. Good job for coming in at the top tier which means you were very practical...NOW LOOSEN UP!
  • Green = Mullet Analysts: They can party and take care of business at the same time.  Solid analysis with a few curveball picks sprinkled around.
  • Yellow= James Dean Analysts: These Rebels have a cause. They are going to tear down the establishment and make sure their Top 100 reflects their own thoughts, not those of the talking heads on the four letter network.
  • Orange=Maverick Analysts:  These guys likely couldn't pick Mel Kiper's hair out of a line up and certainly couldn't tell you what his top 100 looked like.  These guys watch their own game footage and make their own decisions without other people's lists as a template.  We need more people like this!
No one "wins" or is right or wrong here, they just mixed it up more or less.  In the coming years, we will keep track of this draft, comparing the evaluators to each other as well as looking at how well the People's draft, as a whole, fares to the actual NFL draft in terms of player contribution to the team justifying their draft selection.

Thanks!
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Next up: 

Bang for the Buck - How NFL Contenders Spend Money vs Pretenders

And

Review of the 2017 People's Top 100 3 years later!

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