That's How the Numbers Go...
Like I have nothing else to do, I went ahead and calculated NFL team power rankings through Week 5.UPDATE: @Brianslionsblog (Twitter) pointed out the % for DET (and also ARI) does not consider the tie. After further deliberation, I've decided ties suck and % represents the # of games won. Since SoS considers opponents' strength, that is a better indicator for this analysis than losses.
Overview: The table above is based on wins and considers the aggregate performance of each team's opposition for 2019 to date to include a "strength of schedule" component.
Here is how my rankings compared to an aggregate of NFL.com, USA Today, Sports Illustrated and CBS Sports online rankings.
Notes:
- Always contrarian, my #1 team (SF) did not align with the experts choice (NE).
- The Niners have just played a tougher schedule to date; other than BUF, NE played 4 teams that could muster just 1 win between them.
- Counting anything within 1 level up or down as a "hit", the expert rankings agreed with me on 14 teams. And we had the same ranking on CHI (#14), CLE (#21) and ARI (#32).
- The most divergent selections were:
- OAK who I had listed at 8 is 18th for the experts. This despite pulling off a 3-2 record facing 4 teams the experts placed in their Top 14.
- PHI at #15, when the experts have them at #8. They played a fairly soft schedule and did not put up points against a slate of teams that, on the whole, were not very competitive in their games.
- DAL who I have at #17, evidently too low for the experts who have the Cowboys at an average of #11 who I dinged for not showing up as well vs. top tier talent (with losses to NO and GB) as they did vs. 3 teams with just 2 total wins between them.
Look for the Week 6 update in this space this time next week. Until then, check out how Quarterback Aggressiveness impacts your team's win-loss total, right here!
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