Saturday, April 30, 2016

NY Jets Draft Polarizing QB




Yesterday, my football dream came true when the Jets drafted former Penn State quarterback Christian Hackenberg.  But for many other fans, that dream was a nightmare. 

“The Buccaneers traded actual picks to take a kicker in the second round & it wasn't even the dumbest thing that happened today. #Hackenberg  @jwyeNFL”

“Can't put into 140 characters how pissed off I am about #jets drafting #Hackenberg! Mike you've lost the plot on this one I'm afraid! 😡 😡😡😡😡 @danlahunter”

Hackenberg or Hack, was the top QB prospect coming out of Fork Union Military Academy where he led the school to a state championship as a sophomore, getting back to the final game as a senior.  His career at Penn State started on fire but ended in flames as he was sacked over 100 times .  Completions declined.  Footwork fundamentals became unwound.   He was constantly maligned in the press and social media as a sure-fire pre-draft bust. 

Despite all that, I still have him as the best QB coming out of the draft and I am ecstatic my Jets drafted him.  Here’s why:

The Guy:

Both parents were collegiate athletes.  From a genetic, discipline and competitive standpoint, such players can have an advantage.  Dad was a football player at UVA.   HS football coaches may not always have as much time to develop players as they would like.  Players coming from a football family (Tyler Lockett, Rob Gronkowski, Derek Carr) have access to college and pro level concepts, coaches, players and facilities from Pop Warner on.

Penn State Adversity:

Sandusky Scandal – Despite the horrific scandal that rocked PSU and saw top prospects de-commit,  he maintained his commitment to Penn State.  Maybe he didn’t fully understand the impact the bad publicity and sanctions would have on his surrounding cast but to stand by your commitment despite the opportunity to leave for one of his other scholarship offers (and he had them from many top schools) shows a lot of character.  Many others de-committed, including first round WR Will Fuller who went on to Notre Dame.

When his coach Bill O’Brien, the man who carried the whole of Penn State on his shoulders through the aftermath of the scandal, left for the NFL, Hack had another opportunity to sit out a year and move on to another program.  Again, he stayed to fulfill his commitment.

With the hiring of Coach  Franklin, we saw a clear disintegration in Hack’s performance. As pointed out on many outlets, his footwork was totally changed by the staff.  In my opinion, some coaches get fixated on how things should be and forget that if something isn’t broken, don’t fix it.  When asked by John Gruden why Hack changed his footwork, he replied, “Because they asked me to.”  He’s a young man who respects his coaches.  If he fought change, the media would have been all over him for being a trouble maker.   Despite having accomplished so much using the techniques he’d built all his life, he respected his coaches and made changes, although to his detriment.  In the hands of coaches who understand how to use the talents their players bring to the table and don’t try to reprogram successful players, he will be able to build on his solid foundation.


Playing the Game

Hackenberg played in a pro style system.  That is why he wanted to go to Penn State.  He was under center and was able to make adjustments at the line of scrimmage.  If you are in a spread offense at the college level, not only are you not under center, but you have to learn many new concepts like the exchange with the center, dropping based on the play and footwork in play action.  This is a huge advantage he has over the QBs drafted before him in the 2016 draft. 

Given he is in a pro system his ability to read defenses at the line is critical.  If the defensive scheme would blow up a play, he is free to recognize, change the play and OL protection and exploit a defensive miscue.  One thing I’ve noticed is, despite the off the mark passes,  Hack rarely makes the wrong decision in terms of where the weakness is on defense.  Fully clear on  understanding leverage at the line of scrimmage (basically, how will the defense respond to our play and what do I do about it) and how to make defenses pay,  his fundamentals are far and away more advanced than any QB in the draft.  

Supporting Staff

Not to blame the rest of the team but a QB can’t do it all alone.   Ignoring stats and watching games, the mind boggles at all of the missed blocking assignments, incorrectly run routes and dropped passes (a LOT of dropped passes) over the course of a season.  A key factor to all this was the scholarship sanctions and de-commitment of players following the scandal.  The absolute lack of skill across the board on that team could not be overcome by any one player.  Watching tape, you will see consecutive first downs erased by consecutive sacks.   Drives stopped by dropped passes.  All the while, Hack getting popped with hits as his OL of subpar players just could not hold up vs. top programs.  

You will have many “lowlight” reels showing short or overthrown passes but when you watch games you see how a measure of panic set in as the futility of the supporting cast stops drive after drive after drive.  Hack would press and also got out of kilter. One can argue that he should have risen above the poor supporting cast but he is human.  Again, one must watch full games to see the progressive disintegration of the team.  To watch clips out of context will lead to an oversimplification of the complex issues driving this situation. 

Hack Mechanical Issues

As previously stated, Hack has some mechanical issues, mainly with footwork.  He was a master of his fundamentals prior to the arrival of Coach Franklin, and after, major issues.  Hence, these problems are related to confusion in going against the natural tendencies he had developed his entire life.   Working with Chan Gailey, who knows how to focus on the strengths of his players rather than forcing his own styles down their throats, will work for Hack, not against him.

Poor throws especially from shotgun can be traced to Franklin’s staff forcing a change.  Simply having a Hack switching his back foot will cure this problem.  The work required to do so is as simply as giving him permission to do so.  The investment to cure is next to nothing.

Above the Neck

Hack ran a pro-style offense and was given the keys.  Other QBs in spread offenses rarely got past the 2nd progression option (with the exception of Goff) and, as such, never developed much in assessing leverage to find open receivers deep in the progression.   Not only does Hack know were his receivers are, he has a great understanding of defenses so that he can anticipate coverages to quickly go through progressions and find the open receiver.  Youtube any whiteboard session and try finding any QB who showed a better understanding of his offense.  You can’t.

In terms of dealing with adversity, that’s all he faced at Penn State and still led his team to bowl games.  Playing under the pressure of a sports team in the harsh NY market has broken many athletes.  Dealing with the harsh NY media and the rabid fans will be a piece of cake for him. 

Below the Neck

At 6’4” and 224 lbs, he looks the part of an NFL QB.  His arm strength is undeniable.  He can make every throw  and can consistently put touch on the ball when required.   He is not a dual threat QB, but he will pull the ball down and pick up a first down when the defense allows it.  He is a big strong kid who has time and again picked himself up after his many knock downs without missing time due to injury. 


In conclusion, the NY Jets have drafted a physically imposing QB who has all the fundamentals in place.  He is superior above the neck given his ability to process information on the fly in a pro-style defense.  His tape shows a player who can make all the throws on the field with ease.  His durability is unquestionable and, with the draft of OL Brandon  Shell, the Jets will rebuild the OL to protect Hack.  When he has time to operate in the pocket, he is deadly.  He makes adjustments on the field, frequently outthinking opposing defensive coordinators.   As we have seen from his last two years in the Big 10 with no notable players on his supporting staff, if he has no time to work, disaster happens.  If we juxtapose Hack with any other QB in FBS, I’m not sure any of them could have fared much better than Christian.  I would wager they would have performed much worse.

Look for him to absorb the playbook over the Spring and compete over the Summer.  Given the turmoil at QB, don’t be surprised if we see Hack start at some point in 2016. 

Looking forward to a long, solid career from Hack.

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