Week 6 of FBS begins
today so there is no better time than the present to close out Week 5 with an update
of the Top Return on Investment Receivers.
But first, an update on last week’s Players to Watch:
Toledo's Cody Thompson
vs. BYU 5/161/1
Syracuse's Amba Etta-Tawo vs ND 7/134/1
Oklahoma State’s James Washington vs. Texas 3/91/1
Iowa State's Allen Lazard vs. Baylor 3/33/0
Tennessee’s Josh Malone vs. Georgia 2/23/0
TCU's John Diarse vs. Oklahoma 1/10/0
Wisconsin's Jazz Peavey vs. Michigan 1/7/0
ROI represents the
amount of yards a Wide Receiver generates in excess of his distribution -
Post Season ROI will consider Targets, Receptions and Yards, however, In-Season
ROI will consider just Receptions and Yards (unless someone knows a site
that provides target data during the season).
For a more detailed
description, follow this link to the article on Return on Investment.
Top 20 FBS ROI - Revolving
Door at the #1 spot
For a third straight
week we have a new #1. Welcome, Mr.
Jimmy Williams of ECU, a former dual threat QB who was an invited walk on from
local Washington high school.
Table Notes:
DNQ means did not
qualify for inclusion in Top 20 list.
Above Average means the
number of times better than average ROI Player has performed through the season
to date.
This Week
|
Last Week
|
Player
|
College
|
Year
|
ROI
|
X Above Avg
|
Weeks on List
|
1
|
DNQ
|
Jimmy Williams
|
East Carolina
|
Sr.
|
97.3%
|
4.43
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
Sheldon Gibson
|
West Virginia
|
Jr.
|
83.1%
|
3.78
|
2
|
3
|
DNQ
|
Cody Thompson
|
Toledo
|
Jr.
|
74.1%
|
3.37
|
2
|
4
|
DNQ
|
Thaddeous Thompson
|
North Texas
|
Sr.
|
68.8%
|
3.13
|
1
|
5
|
2
|
Josh Reynolds
|
Texas A&M
|
Sr.
|
65.2%
|
2.96
|
4
|
6
|
4
|
Kevin Kutchera
|
Southern Alabama
|
Sr.
|
53.9%
|
2.45
|
3
|
7
|
DNQ
|
Taj Williams
|
TCU
|
Jr.
|
48.9%
|
2.23
|
1
|
8
|
13
|
Sebastian Smith
|
Ohio
|
Sr.
|
48.0%
|
2.18
|
3
|
9
|
15
|
Amba Etta-Tawo
|
Syracuse
|
Sr.
|
47.6%
|
2.16
|
3
|
10
|
10
|
Marcus Kemp
|
Hawaii
|
Sr.
|
46.5%
|
2.11
|
4
|
11
|
6
|
Devonte Boyd
|
UNLV
|
Sr.
|
46.4%
|
2.11
|
3
|
12
|
8
|
James Washington
|
Oklahoma State
|
Jr.
|
45.9%
|
2.09
|
3
|
13
|
DNQ
|
Aaron Peck
|
Fresno State
|
Sr.
|
44.2%
|
2.01
|
1
|
14
|
19
|
Shay Fields
|
Colorado
|
Jr.
|
44.1%
|
2.01
|
2
|
15
|
14
|
Kalib Woods
|
Florida Atlantic
|
Jr.
|
43.9%
|
2.00
|
2
|
16
|
9
|
Devin Gray
|
Cincinnati
|
Jr.
|
39.2%
|
1.78
|
3
|
17
|
11
|
Tim Patrick
|
Utah
|
Sr.
|
37.7%
|
1.71
|
3
|
18
|
5
|
T.L. Ford II
|
Charlotte
|
Jr.
|
37.2%
|
1.69
|
3
|
19
|
DNQ
|
Donald Gray
|
Mississippi St.
|
Jr.
|
36.3%
|
1.65
|
1
|
20
|
17
|
Kenny Golladay
|
Northern Ill.
|
Sr.
|
35.2%
|
1.60
|
2
|
Half of the receivers
have been on the Top 20 list 3 or more times so far this season with TAMU's
Josh Reynolds and Hawaii's Marcus Kemp having made the list each week of
publication so far in the 2016-17 season.
Top 20 Players to Watch
- Jimmy Williams @ South Florida - The new ROI WR1 has a tough contest in USF ranked #21 in Passing Defense. If there's a game, that means the hurricane's impact was minimal. Here's hoping for an on time kick off.
- Josh Reynolds vs. Tennessee - This SEC match up will shake up the rankings as Texas A&M (8) hosts the ninth ranked team in the nation. Reynolds continues to maintain high efficiency even when sharing the ball with arguably the top WR corps in FBS.
- Sebastian Smith vs. Bowling Green - There will likely be a track meet going on during the football game as Ohio faces the team second to last in terms of Passing Defense. Already giving up over 300 passing yards and 4 receiving TDs per game, don't be surprised if Smith rises in the next Top 20 list.
- Shay Fields @ USC - Colorado is ranked 21 and gets a USC that had rough start at 2-3, but don't let the record fool you. Every team they played was undefeated at game time including 3 teams ranked in the Top 25 including Stanford and Alabama. Fields can make a name for himself with a solid outing here.
- Donald Gray vs. Auburn - Another SEC matchup with Mississippi State facing the a defense that has allowed just 4 passing TDs so far this season.
FCS Update
This week I updated the FCS WR table to include juniors because there are some outstanding players who, even if they don't enter this year's draft, would be good to keep an eye on before they enter their final year of eligibility.
This Week
|
Player
|
College
|
Year
|
ROI
|
X Above Avg
|
1
|
Liberty
|
Sr.
|
82.5%
|
3.96
|
|
2
|
McNeese
|
Jr.
|
70.1%
|
3.37
|
|
3
|
San Diego
|
Sr.
|
61.3%
|
2.94
|
|
4
|
Southern Utah
|
Sr.
|
57.7%
|
2.77
|
|
5
|
William & Mary
|
Jr.
|
56.7%
|
2.72
|
|
6
|
Davidson
|
Jr.
|
55.9%
|
2.68
|
|
7
|
Lehigh
|
Jr.
|
55.7%
|
2.68
|
|
8
|
Southeast Mo. St.
|
Jr.
|
54.5%
|
2.61
|
|
9
|
Chattanooga
|
Sr.
|
47.5%
|
2.28
|
|
10
|
Duquesne
|
Sr.
|
44.6%
|
2.14
|
|
11
|
Delaware
|
Jr.
|
43.4%
|
2.08
|
|
12
|
Towson
|
Sr.
|
43.1%
|
2.07
|
|
13
|
Stetson
|
Sr.
|
41.6%
|
2.00
|
|
14
|
Colgate
|
Sr.
|
39.6%
|
1.90
|
|
15
|
Butler
|
Sr.
|
38.8%
|
1.86
|
|
16
|
Northern Colo.
|
Sr.
|
38.4%
|
1.84
|
|
17
|
Bryant
|
Sr.
|
36.0%
|
1.73
|
|
18
|
Illinois St.
|
Sr.
|
35.7%
|
1.71
|
|
19
|
Northern Ariz.
|
Jr.
|
35.5%
|
1.70
|
|
20
|
Stony Brook
|
Jr.
|
32.9%
|
1.58
|
Dante Shells of Liberty leads the pack. Also, a McDonald's basketball All-American nominee, Shells was first team all-state in Delaware who had solid games vs. FBS opponents over the last two season. Shells leads in both raw and QB adjusted ROI.
Division II Update
Just like the other Division I, I've included juniors in the rankings.
This Week
|
Last Week
|
Player
|
College
|
Year
|
ROI
|
X Above Avg
|
1
|
1
|
Ky. Wesleyan
|
Sr.
|
98.5%
|
3.95
|
|
2
|
2
|
Paris Woods
|
Northern Mich.
|
Sr.
|
74.1%
|
2.97
|
3
|
DNQ
|
Charles Holland
|
Tiffin
|
Jr.
|
68.1%
|
2.73
|
4
|
7
|
Eric Poindexter
|
Quincy
|
Sr.
|
62.3%
|
2.50
|
5
|
DNQ
|
DJ Williams
|
Glenville St.
|
Jr.
|
62.1%
|
2.49
|
6
|
4
|
Matt Heller
|
Augustana (SD)
|
Sr.
|
55.0%
|
2.21
|
7
|
DNQ
|
Akkil Walker
|
Minot St.
|
Sr.
|
47.1%
|
1.89
|
8
|
DNQ
|
Kellen Williams
|
Kutztown
|
Sr.
|
46.8%
|
1.88
|
9
|
3
|
Connor Pulley
|
Central Okla.
|
Sr.
|
44.9%
|
1.80
|
10
|
8
|
Shawn Seif
|
Lock Haven
|
Sr.
|
44.4%
|
1.78
|
Keelan Cole has been a star for years at Kentucky Wesleyan and so his maintenance of the top spot should be no surprise. He is a true talent, having played WR and QB in high school were he won 3 Kentucky state championships out of Central HS in Louisville. Paris Wood, however, is not as well known a commodity.
Don't forget to check back for updates next week. Thanks!
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