Week 10 FBS Wide Receiver Return on Investment Update

Week 10

Thanks for checking in. This week will be short and sweet.  If you are looking for more detail on what Wide Receiver Return on Investment or ROI is all about, check out this prior post.

FBS

• Shift - The "Adjusted" column reflects ROI vs average when the average Passing Efficiency Defense of each team's schedule is considered. If the Adjusted ROI is higher, that means the player faced above average passing defense; when it is lower, just the opposite occurred.
• The Ruler's Back - With his 2nd consecutive week at the top spot (4th overall), Butler has ROI that is 381% better than average.  Not sure anyone has ever had higher ROI this late in the season since the measure was fine tuned more than 3 years ago. 
• Welcome to the Club - FBS leader in receiving yards, Isabella has cracked the list at #18 overall.  He is joined by top draft prospect Johnson from Buffalo who has finally enough receptions to qualify.  Well done!
• Staring Contest - Green of La.-Monroe and Poindexter of Arizona are each waiting for the other to drop off the list so that there can be one WR on the list from the first week.  Custis, Brown and Arcega-Whiteside are kicking themselves for missing just one week.
• Two the Hard Way - Edwards joins Scotty Miller as players who were predicted to be solid ROI players in 2018 based on their performance over the prior 2 seasons.  Will definitely be looking at film on both this week.

NCAA Comparison

The "Baddest Man" in terms of WR ROI is the top player across all 4 NCAA divisions:  FBS, FCS, Division II and Division III. 

ROI Margin represents the distance between the player and the 2nd place WR in terms of ROI. 

• As you can see, Butler is killing it in terms of top ROI and ROI Margin.  
• Duverger returned to the top of D2 after leading for nearly the entire season - current Jaguar Keelan Cole is the only player to lead in ROI the entire season.  
• Shulte out of Wartburg is a long shot to make the NFL, but we have had D3 players make it in the past. 
• Christian has been a mainstay in terms of ROI over the last couple of years so it will be interesting to see if any GMs pick up on his skill set.

These names have all been on the list for a while now...we get it, they are all extraordinarily efficient but that doesn't guaranty the reasons for their success will translate to the next level. Is the player just a product of his system or taking advantage of poor competition?  Or does is his success a derivative of his game skills.  ROI is just an indicator for further research. 


That's all for this week...swing by again for the Week 11 full on update for all four NCAA divisions!

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