Saturday, May 23, 2020

2017 NFL Draft In Review - Who Were the Top Twitter Scouts?

Representing DraftTwitter

For those of you who didn't check out my 3rd anniversary review of the very first All Twitter Top 100 Players selected in the NFL 2017 Draft, get up to speed here.

The football gurus, in aggregate, ended up only 1.5% behind the actual NFL draft in terms of how closely they ranked players to their actual value to their teams since their draft date.   But which of our DraftTwitter all-stars showed out the best?   Glad you asked!  

The Dirty Dozen

Below are the top 12 DraftTwitter scouts from 2017 - The Dirty Dozen. On average, their drafts were 8% better than the actual NFL draft (which graded out to 66.1%) in terms of ordering the top 100 prospects in the 2017 NFL draft based on utilization and performance metrics (I'm telling you, go back and read the recap post via the link above).

 
  • These twelve scouts posted above average grades compared to the other scouts in our 2017 NFL Draft All Twitter Top 100. 
  • They all had better drafts than the aggregate for the 32 NFL teams based on our metrics.
  • Yellow represents finishing within 1 standard deviation of the mean of the scouts surveyed. 
  • Green represents finishing above 1 standard deviation of the mean.
  • Greatest Hits represents the picks these guys nailed (not counting Myles Garrett).  For example, Bill Carroll had Adoree Jackson at #37 and that is how he has graded out in the analysis.  
  • Greatest Misses is just the opposite and can be guys we slept on or those who were totally overvalued.
    • Clearly, Forrest Lamp was a guy who was expected to have a bigger impact than he has been able to provide the last three years. 

Back into the Vault

Putting 2017 to bed for another 2 years so we see how the players and how our scouts' picks hold up at the 5 year mark.   Up next year - review of the 2018 DraftTwitter Top 100.  See you there!


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Which teams had the best NFL drafts based on Needs?  How about based on Value?  Have that right here for you!    

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