Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Week 10 FBS Update - CFB WR Return on Investment

We're in the Home Stretch!

Just a few weeks left of the 2017-18 college football regular season and we have a surprising about of activity in our Top 20  list of wide receivers based on Return on Investment efficiency. 

Football Bowl Subdivision


  • Wide Receivers in the top 150 players in terms of receiving yards through Week 10 who are also at least four years out of high school  were eligible for inclusion in the list. 
  • The metrics are based on  calculations using statistics from the top 150 players in terms of receiving yards.
Top of the World, Ma! - Sergio Bailey II went from #12 overall to #1, with ROI of 37.4% which indicates he was 123% more productivity than the average WR in the survey. He balled out against Ball St. with 2 receptions for 110 yards compared to the team's 15 receptions for 263 yards, deposing the former #1...

Weah Did You Go?! - Bad pun notwithstanding, last week's former #1 ROI WR Jester Weah totally disappeared from the list this week because his total reception count fell below the statistical minimum (within 1 standard deviation of average) with Pitt having a bye week.  Not his fault at all.

Not Going Anywhere -  The Big Three in terms of ROI remain on the list for the 8th consecutive week:  Cedrick Wilson, James Washington and Tyre Brady.  We'll see if any of them can go wire to wire like Josh Reynolds did last year.

First Timers - A lot of activity this week with 6 new names to the list:

  • Trevon Brown - After some early issues at ECU, hopefully, he's settled in and will be able to showcase his talents. He has another year of eligibility so perhaps he returns for a 5th year.  
  • Adonis Jennings - 1st Team All State Timber Creek HS (NJ); State Track champion in 4X100.  Transferred to Temple after seeing limited action his freshman year at Pitt. 
  • John Ursua -  A sophomore who spend two years before school on his Mormon mission and is in his 4th year out of High School. Unfortunately he suffered a season ending injury vs SJSU.
  • Ka'Raun White - Suffered an injury senior year in high schoo and went the JUCO route via Lackawanna College. Transferred to family school WVU where his older bro Kevin played and his younger bro Kyzir enrolled in 2016.
  • Marquez Valdez-Scantling - Former NC State WR played as a freshman then sat out over the insane NCAA transfer rule. MVS has already graduated and is working on his master's with another year of eligibility.  It will be interesting to see what he decides to do.
  • Anthony Johnson - No matter what, AJ will be in NFL stadiums on Sundays after he graduates - if he doesn't go pro, he will be watching one of his 3 cousins in the league, including former #1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney.  Having twice transferred, Johnson is having a nice season with over 1,000 yards in 10 games so far. 
Ones to Watch
  1. Look for Jester Weah to return to the list after a bye week as Pitt hosts UNC which is 87th in Passing Defense coming into the Thursday Night game.
  2. Cedrick Wilson should continue to feast going up against Colorado State, 104th in passing D. 
  3. Also look for UNLV's Devonte Boyd to finally make the list as they host  BYU's 84th ranked Passing Defense.


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