Thursday, October 3, 2019

Top 20 College Football Wide Receivers by "ROI" Efficiency through Week 5 ending 9/28/19

"Return on Investment" helps screen out draft eligible receivers who might otherwise fly under the radar.  To learn more check out the initial ROI article for the 2019 season here

No Change at the Top

"DNQ-R" - Did Not Qualify because reception total was not within 1 SD of the mean.
"DNQ-Y" - Did Not Qualify because was not in the top 150 in reception yards. 



Notes:

  • Top T - Just like last week, The Killer T's, players with the letter "T" in their names, dominated the top 5 with Tee Higgins of Clemson staying put at #1.  Versus Georgia Tech, he put 99 yards on 4 receptions which represented 100% efficiency for the week.  Not a bad way to stay on top.
    • Also staying put were Tylan Wallace of Okie State (#4) and Antwan Davis of Ball St. 
  • Killer T, Down! - Trishton Jackson at 'Cuse killed my alliterative dreams for the Top 5 falling from #3 to #11.  The 2017 Michigan State transfer has had a quiet college career until this year.  Despite pedestrian stat line of 2/16/0 vs. Clemson, he had a nice game vs. Maryland (7/157/2) and looks to prove himself in upcoming contests including the season finale against currently undefeated Wake Forest.   
  • Pulled Out the Ruggs - Yeah, lame pun, but "Trey" Ruggs dropped from 8 to 16 on our list after going 1/11/0 vs. Ole Miss when the team put up 418 yards on 26 receptions meaning Hank's Week 4 ROI was around negative 50%.  That will put a hurting on ya.  Definitely expect him to get back on track when the Tide rolls into College Station to take on # 25 Texas A&M.
  • Senior Most - Underclassmen are can be unpredictable in terms of declaring for the NFL draft and we include all classes for the first few Top 20 lists, but we know seniors will be looking to improve their draft standing.  Liberty's Antonio Gandy-Golden is killing it in terms of efficiency.  Competition will be the biggest question, with his toughest challenge being against Syracuse though he performed for 6/119/0.  Circle November 23rd on your calendar because he will be going up against UVA and potential early draft CB Bryce Hall. 

Welcome to the Party, Pal!  Here are some newcomers to the list. 
  • Frosh Hop - What a way to start for 6'3" Central Michigan redshirt freshman Tyrone Scott?  He didn't qualify for the list last week due to the "Sammie Coates Rule" for calculating ROI, but he just cleared the bar this week to debut in the second slot. 
  • Hale, Donovan! - Expected to see my favorite Hoosier Nick Westbrook make the list but he's been eclipsed by former Florida HS dual-threat QB Hale, who was also a McDonald's All-American in b-ball. Despite a fairly tame stat line vs. OSU (join the club), he has a Big 10 schedule to gnaw on and is in prime position to get noticed. 
  • Nittney Lion Legacy- Prior to attending football factory IMG Academy KJ Hamler attended the same high school as Allen Robinson.  Entering his redshirt Sophomore year, the 5'9" Hamler leads the team in receptions, reception yards, reception TDs AND handles return duties. They go to one of the self-proclaimed "DBU"s when they visit THE Ohio State University on November 23rd.  Circle that date again. 
  • Lamb Not Chopped - Oklahoma Sooner Ceedee Lamb was in great shape to make the list last week but he just missed the required number of receptions to qualify (see Ty Scott, above).  His production has been erratic over the first 3 games going 2/46/1/, 6/144/1 then 1/39/1 before going 7/185/3 vs. Texas Tech to get on the map.  
  • S'Cuse me While I Whip This Out - Second Orangeman in the top 25, however, Taj Harris is a true sophomore so he will be one to watch for in the future.  Already having set school freshman receiving records, this former HS QB (you know that is a big plus for me) is second only to Jackson (above) in receptions and rec yards. 
  • Hope He Loves the Cold - Minnesota's junior WR Rashod Bateman was an all-state athlete...out of Georgia!  They must have made him an offer he couldn't refuse to move up to the tundra and it seems to have worked out.  He started every game as a freshman and is leading brand name Tyler Johnson in reception yards so far.  A team captain, it will be interesting to see what Bateman will do when declaration day for the NFL draft comes around especially if they end up facing OSU in the Big 10 title game.  

Touchdown Kings

Here are the guys who generate TDs at the quickest rates (Interestingly, there are a lot more draft-eligible players than in the ROI list). 



FCS Prospects




FBS is not the only Division I operation, you know, so I'm provided the top 10 ROI receivers so far through 9/29/19.

Notes:

  • Maine's Earnest Edwards (5'10", 180)  is highly decorated at the HS and college levels.  As a return specialist, he already has 2 kickoff returns so far in 2019.
  • Wagner's Josh DeCambre (6'4", weight unlisted) is off to a productive year against FBS opposition going 8/124/1 against Florida Atlantic. 
  • Isaiah Weston was all-state in his native Minnesota winning District MVP on the way to becoming state champion and ended up going to the University of Northern Iowa...there has to be a story here.  Until we find that out, know he was a Freshman All-American in 2017 before missing all of 2018 (dude is quite the enigma).  Here is your first "Circle the Date" FCS game when UNI takes on perennial powerhouse North Dakota State October 12th.
  • SE Louisiana's Austin Mitchell has that NFL access I love since he is the nephew of NFL great Brian Mitchell.  Dude has 384 yards on 19 receptions going over 20 YPR!  Add his 4 TDs including and contributions as a punt returner and we will be keeping tabs on #81.
  • Morgan State Senior Manassah Bailey has an 2019 statline of 15/325/4 with standout performances vs. FBS Army-West Point with 6/121/2 and going 4/172/1 vs. FCS elite program James Madison. 
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