Sunday, December 15, 2019

NFL Power Rankings Through 12/11/19 (Excludes last Thursday's Game) and STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE!

Power Rankings Going into Week 15

Let's not waste any time; here are the rankings alongside those of the Experts at SI, ESPN, CBS, USAToday, and Bleacher Report.



  •  Green columns are This Week's Rankings, the Average Ranking of the Experts and the difference between the current week's rankings.
  • Light Blue columns are Last Week's Rankings, how off the Experts were this week from their rankings for the same teams last week and finally, the difference between my week over week performance compared to the Experts to show who was farther off each pick.

Schedule Strength

  • Based on the aggregate average weighted strength of each teams' opponents separated into wins and losses, we have the table above which shows the difficulty of each teams' schedule thus far, going from most difficult at the top going down.
  • The colored column breaks out the distribution with Yellow as withing 1 standard deviation from the mean (plain yellow is above the mean, bold yellow is below), 
    • Orange is greater than 1 standard deviation from the mean but less than 2; Green is less than.
    • Thankfully, there are no red teams (greater than 2 deviations from the mean) and there is only one blue team, my NYJ who have had the easiest schedule thus far in 2019.
  • Top 10 most difficult schedule but still with winning records:  SEA and KC.
  • Top 10 easiest schedule but still with losing records: NYJ, LAC, DAL, and IND.  Yikes!
Check back next week for the last couple of weeks of the season!

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