Monday, September 25, 2017

Updated FBS Wide Receiver Return on Investment through Week 4 2017

Week 4/List #2


Thank you for taking the time to update yourself on the second Top 20 WR "Return on Investment" (ROI) list through September 23, 2017.  There has been some significant turnover since the first survey last week, so let's get into it. 

For those of you not familiar with ROI as a measure for football receiver efficiency, please review the original article on the topic.

Survey 2 (Week 4 2017)



"DNQ" indicates player did not qualify to make last week's survey because their receptions total was not greater than 1 standard deviation below the average for the top 150 receivers in terms of yardage. 

Newcomers to the List

  • Andre Levrone of UVA debuted in the number 1 spot after a Monster game at Boise State.  This week, he broke the mold by pulling in 11.3% of the team's total Receptions, but generating 27.9% of the team's receiving yards for an unheard of Raw ROI of 146.5%.  His cumulative efficiency is almost twice that of the next competitor and over 500% better than the survey average of 26.1%.  An All-State HS player ranked as WR1 in Maryland , Levrone was injured for most of his senior season.  He also  missed most of  the 2015 UVA campaign due to injury.  Athletic family; cousin bodybuilder Kevin Levrone.  Andre also has the 2nd best REC/TD ratio among qualified WR, with a TD every 3.3 receptions. 
  • Kwadarrius Smith of Akron was in Jerome Lane's shadow last year (and would still be had the junior not decided to come out early) finishing 4th in Receiving yards, but his YPC was an amazing 24.5 yards.  Smith has leapfrogged last year's returning WRs in terms of recs, yards, and TDs so far.  He was an All State (FL) CB out of First Academy in Orlando.  A true track star, he won the state championship in 100m in HS; he currently runs track at Akron. A transfer in from Missouri (after a redshirt Freshman year there) he sat out 2016 on the sidelines due to the idiotic NCAA rules. Not much football footage of him out there other than this...
  • Alfonso Onunwor of Idaho was an All State (OH) WR out of Brush High (Cleveland) who transferred from Coffeyville CC (Kansas).  He is also a return specialist.  His recruiting video exhibits knowledge of a lot of the fundamental tools I don't see with many WRs already in CFB.  He is the leading returning WR who has his QB back in Scott Linehan.  Onunwor is one to keep an eye on. 
  • Jamarius Way got to South Alabama by way of Ellsworth CC (IA) where the team was middlin', but he had solid production.  Played WR, basketball and ran track for Glades Central High (Belle Glade, FL). Originally signed LOI to play at Bethune-Cookman (his brother was LB there) he decided he would rather take the JUCO route. 
  • Andre Wilson of the freshly rebooted UAB is a versatile athlete out of Converse Judson High (TX). He  helped his football team get as far as the to state quarterfinals.  Basketball player also.  Formerly at Trinity Valley CC (TX).

Better Luck Next Time

The following players have fallen out of the Top 20:

  • Elijah King of Texas St. did not qualify after a 1/18/0 stat line vs. UTSA.
  • C.J. Johnson of Wyoming was listed as participating in the game vs. Hawai'i but registered no statline. .
  • Travis Fulgham went 1/13/0 as  Old Dominion got blanked by VT.
  • Lucky Jackson of Western Kentucky was simply inefficient vs. Ball State.
  • Hergy Mayala of UConn was, unfortunately, injured early in the contest vs. ECU.
  • Diontae Johnson did not contribute his fair share of the 344 passing yards Toledo poured on Miami.
  • Sergio Bailey II of  Eastern Mich. had a productive, efficient game vs. Ohio, but the efforts of the newcomers pushed him out of the Top 20 to #22.

RECAP: ROI Game of the Week: Texas Tech at Houston

My preseason breakout candidates TTU's Keke "Clean" Coutee and Houston's Steven Dunbar did not disappoint, going 11/161/1 and 6/83/0 respectively.  Didn't watch live, but will Youtube to check out how my QB candidate Nic Shimonek did. 

Will post an ROI Game of the Week once I've had a chance to look at the matchups. 

Shameless Self-Promotion!

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