Week Ending 11-12-16 Return On Investment Update

Hard to believe we are about to enter the 12th week of the 2016 season.  The conference championship games will start to clarify over the next couple of weeks so it should be an exciting holiday season.

What is Wide Receiver Return on Investment?

In short, ROI represents the amount of yards a receiver generates in excess of his distribution quota.   This allows us to see which receivers make the most of their opportunities.

For a more detailed description, follow this link to Return on Investment

FBS Top Performers

DNQ indicates the player did not have enough receptions to qualify for inclusion the prior week (Players must be within 1 standard deviation of the average receptions of the Top 150 WRs)

This Week	Last Week	Player	College	Year	ROI	X Above Avg	Rec/TD
1	1	Deangelo Yancey	Purdue	Sr.	74.6%	4.55	5.3
2	2	Jimmy Williams	East Carolina	Sr.	68.6%	4.18	6.2
3	5	Josh Reynolds	Texas A&M	Sr.	51.3%	3.12	4.9
4	4	Shelton Gibson	West Virginia	Jr.	50.9%	3.10	5.8
5	7	Sabastian Smith	Ohio	Sr.	43.8%	2.67	11.5
6	6	Josh Malone	Tennessee	Jr.	40.3%	2.46	4.4
7	9	Shay Fields	Colorado	Jr.	38.5%	2.35	5.0
8	13	Marcus Kemp	Hawaii	Sr.	38.1%	2.32	9.5
9	8	James Washington	Oklahoma St.	Jr.	37.8%	2.31	6.2
10	15	Ardarius Stewart	Alabama	Jr.	37.0%	2.26	5.6
11	10	Malik Turner	Illinois	Jr.	36.3%	2.21	9.0
12	DNQ	Shaedon Meadors	Appalachian St.	Jr.	34.7%	2.11	36.0
13	12	Cody Thompson	Toledo	Jr.	33.9%	2.07	5.6
14	16	Allenzae Staggers	Southern Miss.	Jr.	33.9%	2.06	7.7
15	38	Chance Allen	Houston	Sr.	33.4%	2.03	12.0
16	21	Amba Etta-Tawo	Syracuse	Sr.	30.7%	1.87	9.9
17	DNQ	Jonathan Duhart	Old Dominion	Jr.	30.7%	1.87	7.0
18	20	Amara Darboh	Michigan	Sr.	30.5%	1.86	7.2
19	14	Carlos Henderson	Louisiana Tech	Jr.	30.3%	1.85	3.8
20	DNQ	Doni Dowling	Virginia	Jr.	30.1%	1.83	9.5

Based on the table above, Purdue's DeAngelo Yancey repeated as the most efficient receiver in FBS, with a QB accuracy adjusted Return on Investment of 74.6% more yards than expected for his reception distribution.   His ROI is about 4.6x better than the average WR in FBS.

In terms of touchdown production, Carlos Henderson of Louisana Tech takes it to the house once every 3.8 receptions (that's good for third of all draft eligible FBS WRs).

ROI Wide Receiver Top Performances 

James Washington OKST 6/158/1 vs Texas Tech
ArDarius Stewart ALA 8/156/3 vs. Mississippi State
Shay Fields COLO 6/108/2 vs. Arizona

FCS Top Performers

For all intents and purposes, the final week of the FCS regular season is upon us (2 games will be played next week).  While not all players will be fortunate enough to enter the playoffs, all WRs will continue to see their ROI measures fluctuate as the playoff stats will impacted the averages against which all players are measured.

This Week	Last Week	Player	College	Year	ROI	X Above Avg	Rec/TD
1	1	Jaris Scott	Davidson	Jr.	57.7%	3.08	16.5
2	2	Christian Summers	Towson	Sr.	53.6%	2.86	11.8
3	7	Brian Riley	San Diego	Sr.	46.7%	2.50	7.8
4	4	Miles Thompson	Indiana St.	Jr.	43.8%	2.34	6.2
5	3	Isaiah Barnes	Princeton	Sr.	43.0%	2.29	16.5
6	9	Jordon Gandy	Murray St.	Jr.	42.9%	2.29	4.9
7	6	Wayne Capers	Duquesne	Sr.	40.9%	2.19	6.0
8	8	Anthony Warrum	Illinois St.	Sr.	40.6%	2.17	6.3
9	11	Devonte Dedmon	William & Mary	Jr.	40.5%	2.16	6.6
10	5	Will Carter	Bucknell	Sr.	38.9%	2.08	15.0
11	10	Elijah Marks	Northern Ariz.	Jr.	35.9%	1.92	6.1
12	16	Gatlin Casey	Lehigh	Jr.	34.3%	1.83	4.1
13	18	Darious Crawley	McNeese	Jr.	33.5%	1.79	6.5
14	20	Taylor Barthelette	Bryant	Sr.	32.7%	1.75	6.4
15	21	Daniel Williams	Jackson St.	Sr.	32.2%	1.72	15.7
16	24	Xavier Borishade	Chattanooga	Sr.	32.1%	1.71	5.1
17	19	Joey Fields	Central Conn. St.	Jr.	31.8%	1.70	8.2
18	15	Stephen Miller	Northern Colo.	Sr.	31.5%	1.68	15.7
19	14	Spearman Robinson	Western Carolina	Sr.	29.7%	1.58	11.3
20	14	Mason Rutherford	Delaware State	Jr.	28.8%	1.54	38.0

 Jaris Scott repeats as ROI WR1 in FCS but increased his margin from 1.3% to 4.1% over Towson's Christian Summers.  With one game remaining for most of the top 20, you should expect some movement in the rankings since non-playoff seniors will likely want to end their collegiate careers with a bang.

Shameless Self-Promotion! 

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See you next week!