Friday, November 2, 2018

Week 9 of NCAA Wide Receiver Return on Investment Efficiency...All 4 Divisions

Eight? Not So Great

So last week was a bit hectic and so the update was simply not created.  We are going straight into Week 9 because, you know, things slowed down a bit. We are rapidly sliding into the tail end of the regular season and so let's take a look at the top performers.


Return on Investment is an efficiency measure that attempts to point out performers who produce more with less.  The goal is not to validate the WR1, but to find players who may be getting overlooked with potential to be significant contributors once they get to the NFL. And for a lot less in terms of draft capital.  ROI is all about value. Some of the players screened out by ROI over the years include the Chiefs' Chris Conley, the Rams' Cooper Kupp, the Jaguars' Keelan Cole and the Texans' Keke Coutee, among others. 

FBS




















Notes:
  • Do You Want an Encore?- Butler from Iowa State took a hiatus last week (he did not have enough receptions to qualify) to return to the number one spot overall. I will be looking at video of him to see if his production is driven by scheme or his own hard work.
  • And Then There Were Two - Only Green from Louisiana Monroe and  Poindexter from Arizona have been on each and every top 20 list this season. Can they go wire to wire?
  • 50/50 - The current list is split evenly with 10 seniors and 10 juniors (sophomores will be included in the post season ROI listings until Declaration Day, after which only those declaring for the draft will be listed). 
  • The Long Run - Scott Miller is the only pre-season ROI selections to remain on this list meaning he has had solid efficiency for the last three seasons. 
  • New Jack City - First time appearances by 4:  
    • Hightower from Boise State
    • Ward from Hawai'i
    • Mooney from Tulane
    • Humphrey from Texas

FCS


























  •  Mutiny - Christian reclaimed his #1 standing after the incumbent could not garner enough receptions to qualify.
  • Teenage Riot - Juniors outnumber Senior 13-7 on this week's list however, I don't recall seeing FCS players declare early for the draft so we will start excluding Juniors in the lower tier NCAA divisions over the next few weeks.
  • Nubes - We welcome Bobby Hartzog and Reggie White Jr (not the one you're thinking of) to the list as first timers.  Pace, Gueller and Cotton just took some "me" time away from the list...

Division II




































New #1 Greenhow knocks out Duverger who has held the #1 spot most of the season.  I know it is D2, but over the last 3 games, Greenhow has collected 152, 276 and 207 yard games. Omigie (just want him to go pro so his nickname can be "OMG!") and Brummitt also crashed this week's list.


Division III























Shulte of Wartburg remains atop DIII by a healthy margin. He's gone over 140 yards three times this season, but with two games remaining, it's doubtful anyone can supplant him. He and Day have been list mainstays.


NCAA Baddest Man of the Week





Butler returns with a vengeance to take the top spot in terms of ROI in all the land.  He is a very big receiver who runs hard and, should he come out for he 2019 draft, will be an intriguing prospect. 



The Wearer of the Touchdown Chain is...


Division II gets to wear the Touchdown Chain this week thanks to Azusa Pacific's Carr who's Receiving Touchdown Rate of 1 touchdown every 2.8 receptions is 205% better than average.  FBS is represented by Johnson, whose Toledo has one of the most talent WR trios in NCAA football today.

Looking forward to wrapping up the season over the next month so stay tuned for regular updates.














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