The NFL season is winding down and that can only mean one thing for the teams who have been out of legit playoff contention since Turkey Day...looking forward to the NFL draft.
When the NY Jets did the unthinkable by winning a game, they moved out of the top draft spot. Many fans have voiced concerns that losing the top would plunge the team into a worse state than they have currently found themselves.
Of course the 1st pick gives a team the most flexibility but to assume a particular team cannot win without the top slot is a bit of a stretch.
Below is a look at the Quarterbacks who have started the last 20 Super Bowls.
Of the 24 individuals who started Super Bowl games they had an average draft position of 64.6.
For QBs who started multiple SBs, the ADP is 81.2. If we take out the Manning boys, both #1 picks it shoots up to 121 thanks to Brady and Warner (who, as an UDFA was assigned the spot after the last pick of his draft).
Of starters of all 40 SBs, the ADP is 82.1. Exclude Brady and his 9 appearances and it is still a late 2nd round 54.8.
Point being, you don't need a #1 overall QB to get to the big game.
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Other Posts To Read
The Nut Doesn't Fall Far from the Coaching Tree - Looking at the lineages of some of the NFL head coaching prospects for 2021. Boombear's College Football Analysis: Strong Roots: NFL Head Coaching Vacancies and Coaching Trees (boombearfootball.blogspot.com)
ADP and Wins - How much does draft position of starting players correlate to wins? Let's look at a small sample to see what we can find. Boombear's College Football Analysis: Correlation Between ADP and Team Win Percentage (boombearfootball.blogspot.com)
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