Week 8 - Football Bowl Subdivision Top 20 ROI
A lot of great games this past weekend and we are seeing the playoffs starting to take some sort of shape. There is still a whole bunch of football to be played before January so let's jump right into the Top 20 Return on Investment (ROI) receivers for FBS.
ROI based on the top 150 FBS players in terms of total receiving yards through 10/21/17.
Stuff You Should Know:
- Easy Come, Easy Go - After debuting at #1 overall last week, highly touted LSU receiver D.J. Chark has disappeared from the rankings. What happened? No receptions this past weekend vs. Ole Miss. and so he fell below the minimum number of receptions required to qualify for the survey (this minimum was established to weed out guys who are simply deep threats and provide little production on short and intermediate routes). Keep in mind, Chark on a lot of lips for WR1 (him, but he's not mine, but that's another article); ROI is especially useful in screening out hidden gems.
- I Tried to Tell Ya - New number 1 overall is Jester Weah has been a favorite of mine for sometime. He has contributed 52.4% more yards than his expected pro-rata share of receptions for the Panthers so far this season. Looking forward to seeing him on Sundays.
- The Fantastic Four - Only 4 receivers have been on the FBS Top 20 list every week since we began 6 weeks ago: Cedrick Wilson, James Washington, Tyre Brady and Vic Wharton III. Do yourself a favor and watch Trey Wharton's highlight reel out of high school; this was about as highly produced as the Justice League movie. Warning, his high school team's mascot is an eagle...can't say I didn't warn you.
- Don't Call it a Comeback - Darren Carrington, Andre Wilson, Doni Dowling, Jaleel Scott and Sergio Bailey II all returned to the Top 20 list. this week. These electrifying WRs have each starting to generate "buzz" on social media; we will see which among the talking heads will claim to have "discovered" each of them.
- The New Kid in Town - All 5'9", 182 lbs of Ryheem Malone makes his debut to the list at number 19. The Houston native out of Bellaire HS originally enrolled at SMU but left the state to become a Ragin' Cajun at Lafayette. He sat out 2016 due to the idiotic NCAA sit out rule. As efficient as he is as a receiver, he is also a dangerous return man as seen in his high school reel.
- TD Rate - The average TD rate for the entire sample of 150 WRs was 1 TD every 10.3 receptions. While only 5 of the Top 20 need to pick up the pace, Doni Dowling leads the group with a TD every 5.9 catches. Of course, leading the league is former USC QB commit, current WVU' WR, David Sills with 1 TD every 3.1 catches (he did not sufficient ROI to make this list).
- The Gravy Index - The number of Top 20 ROI players who are at least within 1% of the average weight/height ratio of 2.79 lbs/in for 2016 NFL Player Combine Wide Receivers has fallen to 7 or 35%. In fact, there are as many players who are off the average by double digit percentages as there are players above that average. Maybe after Bowl season when they can get home to Mom's cooking, they can put some meat on those bones.
That's it for FBS! Look out for FCS, DII and DIII later this week!
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