Wednesday, April 28, 2021

The Fifth Annual All-DraftTwitter Top 100 Big Board Aggregation Project

 Let's Do it Again

If you follow this blog you know interaction and collaboration are core values.  For the last five years that attitude has been celebrated via a survey of passionate evaluators just like you who contribute their top 100 NFL Draft big boards to be aggregated into one board that gives an overall sentiment of how we, the People, feel about the top NFL prospects.  


Heroes


Here are the friends and colleagues who make this all possible:
  • Bill Carroll - Twitter Handle: @elevenbravo138
  • Matt - Twitter Handle:  @ZazzyJets
  • Jacob Infante - Twitter Handle:  @jacobinfante24
  • Gab - Twitter Handle: @GabLikesFball
  • Ryan Rosko - Twitter Handle: @SkoSports
  • TheCutFFL - Twitter Handle:  @ theCutFFL
  • Jimmy Williams - Twitter Handle: @draftguyjimmy
  • Michael Thomas Marquez Callaway- Twitter Handle: @zonereads
  • etienne rb1. - Twitter Handle: @thedraftgenius
  • Seth Murphy - Twitter Handle: @SethMurphyBBD
  • Connor Lervold- Twitter Handle: @LervoldNFLDraft
  • Jonas Stark - Twitter Handle: @JonasStaerk
  • Halil's Real Footballtalk - Twitter Handle: @halilsfbtalk
  • Alex Gilstrap - Twitter Handle: @AlexGilstrap
  • Jason Willis - Twitter Handle: @JWillisScouting
  • Jake White - Twitter Handle: @TrueWhoDat12
  • Jake Sirkus - Twitter Handle: @JakeSirkus
  • Brandon SoederPenner- Twitter Handle: @lamachine17
  • Dylan Tereman - Twitter Handle: @DTereman

I would encourage the reader to follow each of the above.  A special shout-out to Bill Carroll who has participated in each Top 100 list over the last five years. He is the Godfather of DraftTwitter and adds to the community every day.

Keep an eye out for future blogs reviewing how aggressive each contributor was in their selections (compared to the group as a whole) and for 3 year reviews of each Top 100 list to actual performance (2018 is past due and in the works for post Draft delivery).

Let's get to it...

Top 100 Players for the NFL 2021 Draft

  


Avg Rank: Average score for each player in the aggregation based on #1 overall assigned 100 pts, #2 gets 99 pts and so on, down to #100 getting 1 pt.

Off Prior Player:  The difference in Avg Rank of a player and the one selected directly before him.


Top 100 by Tier

I broke up each position into quartiles based on scores and aggregated to give a tiered presentation.
  • Because the tiers are based on position, the overall rank numbers (first column) are not sequential.
  • Centers and Guards are aggregated into "IOL" for this exercise.



Comments:
  • DL
    • Barmore is the only Tier I player (Ranked 13 spots above the next DL)
    • Only 2 of 8 in our top 100 are in the first 2 tiers.
  • IOL 
    • Vera-Tucker is the only Tier I player  (Ranked 14 spots ahead of the next IOL)
    • There are no Tier III players
  • LB
    • There are no Tier III players
    • Tier I & II players outnumber Tier IV players 7 to 4.
  • QB
    • No Tier II QB
    • Mac Jones is 29 places after Trey Lance (#12)
    • Kyle Trask is #93 (52 places after Jones)
  • RB
    • No Tier III RB
  • SAF
    • Moehrig is the only Tier I player
      • The next player is 25 places after him
    • There are more Tier IV Safeties (4) than Tiers I, II and III combined. 
  • WR
    • DraftTwitter gives you even odds on receivers as as it is 50/50 between Tiers I & II vs Tiers III and IV.



Position Strength

 Based on the opinions shared by the DraftTwitter contributors, here are the average grades for each position. 



Thanks again to the contributors this year and keep an eye out for my review of the 2018 draft to see how the Draft Twitter evaluators compared to the NFL GMs in terms of productivity of the top 100 picks for each.

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Please check out these other blog posts:

  • Is Your Team Screwed in the 2021 NFL Draft? - The annual Supply and Demand analysis for the draft looks at which teams have the draft capital to meet their  positional "needs" and which teams will be scrambling to find talent.  This series is updated at the end of each draft day so don't forget to check back before Day 2 and Day 3!
  • Tanking for Trevor? -  The worst team gets the top prize in the NFL draft but is the draft position of the quarterback really important when it comes to the ultimate NFL goal?
  • College Football Wide Receiver Return on Investment for NFL Draft 2021 - Taking our annual look at how this year's crop of college receivers compare when  Dominator Rating is compared to my own Return on Investment metric.  

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